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Evan Lieberman

Evan Lieberman

SG

Oklahoma City Barons · Shot Creator / Wing Stopper

College: SMU · Abilene, Texas

Spectacular pass-first forward

An elite two-way shooting guard averaging 11.3 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 4.2 APG. Excels in rim protection (19 rating, 99th pctl), post defense (17 rating, 87th pctl) and finishing (18 rating, 86th pctl). Limited by strength (5 rating, 16th pctl) and first step (8 rating, 23rd pctl).

71
Impact
53
Future
5.0
CA
3.0
PA
30
Age
$35.0M
Salary
3.953
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(10)
O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Floater Game (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Floor General (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Shot Creator (B) D Paint Wall (S) D Rim Eraser (S)
NBA Comparison
Christian Braun
2024-25
77%
Style
77%
Level
6'6" · 218lbs
15.0/6.0/4.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Derrick White
2024-25 · 72%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.9
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 30 (past peak)
Future Value: 53
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 11.3 64
RPG 5.9 79
APG 4.2 83
SPG 0.9 60
BPG 1.4 83
MPG 31.4 82
Shooting
FG% 0.509 73
3P% 0.423 86
FT% 0.86 68
TS% 0.616 82
Impact
Impact 71 94
Off Impact 66 92
Def Impact 67 91
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.3 49
WS 8.0 94
Box Score Impact 4.2 92
Value Over Replacement 3.9 95
Positional BSI 1.69 +2.51

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Passing 17 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10 (coef=0.0330)
Stealing 10 (coef=0.0145)
First Step 8 (coef=0.0112)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0094)
Quickness 9 (coef=-0.0020)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 11.3 16.5 -5.2
RPG 5.9 7.0 -1.1
APG 4.2 4.0 +0.2
SPG 0.9 0.9 -0.0
BPG 1.4 1.6 -0.2
TPG - 1.7
FG% 0.509 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.423 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.86 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
88:12%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Star-level score driven by exceptional On-Court Impact.

71 / 100 #28 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.60z
On-Court Impact +3.98 (Off +2.45, Def +1.53)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.86z
Win Model Score: 3.9376
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
66
#39
Defense
67
#46
Confidence
100%
2452 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.69 Actual: 4.2 +2.51
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

53 / 100 #221 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 65
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 66
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 23
Future Value well below current Impact (71) — likely declining asset

League Percentile Profile

PPG
54
TS%
85
BPM
91
WS/48
87
RAPM
94
USG%
17
PA/100
88
BCI
64

Shot Quality

PA/100
+9.57
Points Added
+74.9
Selection
1.024
FGA
783
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
42.7%
279 FGA (36%)
Rim
56.3%
355 FGA (45%)
Short Midrange
37.0%
108 FGA (14%)
Other
62.5%
8 FGA (1%)
Long Midrange
45.5%
33 FGA (4%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
11.44
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+4.1%
USG%
14.6%
Tendencies
Salary
$35.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.583

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $35,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.938
Expected WM
3.592
Dev Residual
+0.3460
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.063
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-2.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
A
Antoine Thuram Oakland Tritons 0 2.0 94.8% Glue Guy / Helper
D
Damjan Nemanič Los Angeles Fireballs 30 4.5 94.7% Post Bully / Mobile Big
D
Diego Quintillà St Louis Skyhawks 0 2.5 94.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 93.4% Secondary Creator / Chaser
Z
Zachary Bancroft New York Renegades 0 3.5 93.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Value
13.9
Years to Peak
-1
Current Win Value
13.9
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.967
Projected Peak WV
2.967
Peak Age
30
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 14 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 10 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 10 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 16 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 11 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 5 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 15 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 15 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 15 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 16 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 19 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 15 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 12 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 8 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 9 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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