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Houston Chong-Qui

Houston Chong-Qui

SG

Salt Lake City Saints · Stretch Big / Helper

College: Georgetown · Eastvale, California

Physical paint-anchoring center

A star-level two-way shooting guard averaging 3.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 0.6 APG. Excels in strength (19 rating, 99th pctl), mid-range shooting (18 rating, 97th pctl) and offensive rebounding (18 rating, 91st pctl). Limited by athleticism (4 rating, 2nd pctl) and stealing (3 rating, 7th pctl).

59
Impact
49
Future
4.0
CA
2.0
PA
26
Age
$10.0M
Salary
3.790
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)
O Floater Game (S) O Post Hub (S) O Glass Cleaner (B) O Sniper (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Pop Threat (B) D Paint Wall (B)
Evan Mobley
NBA Comparison
Discount Evan Mobley
2024-25
71%
Style
71%
Level
6'11" · 215lbs
18.0/9.0/3.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer 3PT specialist Rim protector
Alt comp
Naz Reid
2024-25 · 66%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.4
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (3yr away)
Future Value: 49
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 3.9 18
RPG 2.0 30
APG 0.6 17
SPG 0.1 10
BPG 0.5 56
MPG 7.5 12
Shooting
FG% 0.477 59
3P% 0.407 78
FT% 0.838 58
TS% 0.618 83
Impact
Impact 59 78
Off Impact 58 77
Def Impact 52 66
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.1 78
WS 1.0 27
Box Score Impact 0.2 53
Value Over Replacement 0.3 44
Positional BSI -1.78 +1.98

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 18 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 (coef=0.0330)
Passing 8 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 3 (coef=0.0145)
Shoot Off Dribble 5 (coef=0.0134)
Foul Drawing 13 (coef=0.0102)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 3.9 1.1 +2.8
RPG 2.0 3.5 -1.5
APG 0.6 -1.7 +2.3
SPG 0.1 -0.5 +0.6
BPG 0.5 0.9 -0.4
TPG - 0.1
FG% 0.477 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.407 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.838 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
68:32%

Positional Fit

Guard 30%
Wing 60%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact.

59 / 100 #106 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.24z
On-Court Impact +3.10 (Off +2.64, Def +0.45)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.82z
Win Model Score: 3.7738
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
58
#112
Defense
52
#179
Confidence
50%
504 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.78 Actual: 0.2 +1.98
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

49 / 100 #289 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 46
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 45
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 55
Future Value below current Impact (59) — may be approaching decline

Shot Quality

PA/100
+2.87
Points Added
+6.0
Selection
1.077
FGA
208
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
40.7%
108 FGA (52%)
Rim
57.4%
54 FGA (26%)
Short Midrange
35.9%
39 FGA (19%)
Long Midrange
57.1%
7 FGA (3%)
Tendencies
Salary
$10.0M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.466

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $10,000,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Salt Lake City Saints
2051-52 $10,000,000
2052-53 $10,000,000
Total Owed $30,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.774
Expected WM
3.297
Dev Residual
+0.4766
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.008
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-2.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Diego Quintillà St Louis Skyhawks 0 2.5 90.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
Z
Zachary Bancroft New York Renegades 0 3.5 88.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Damjan Nemanič Los Angeles Fireballs 30 4.5 87.5% Post Bully / Mobile Big
A
Antoine Thuram Oakland Tritons 0 2.0 87.3% Glue Guy / Helper
M
McKinley Power Cleveland Giants 20 3.5 84.9% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.4
Years to Peak
3
Current Win Value
11.8
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.817
Projected Peak WV
2.951
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
3
WV Growth
+0.134

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 13 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 6 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 6 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 3 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 14 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 18 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 19 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 11 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 8 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 7 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 18 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 4 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 5 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 18 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 17 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 6 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 4 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 13 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 18 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 5 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 4 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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