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Anvar Makiev

Anvar Makiev

SG

Oakland Tritons · Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper

College: Cincinnati · Volsk, Russia

Spectacular two-way shooting guard

A fringe shooting guard averaging 11.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 6.3 APG. Excels in 2.1 SPG (100th pctl), endurance (18 rating, 99th pctl) and 6.3 APG (93rd pctl). Limited by finishing (8 rating, 5th pctl) and basketball IQ (10 rating, 13th pctl).

33
Impact
64
Future
3.5
CA
5.0
PA
21
Age
$4.8M
Salary
3.526
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(4)
O Floor General (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Glass Cleaner (B) D Clamps (B)
Marcus Smart
NBA Comparison
Marcus Smart
2022-23
75%
Style
75%
Level
6'3" · 220lbs
11.5/3.1/6.3 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Lockdown defender Ball handler
Alt comp
Jrue Holiday
2024-25 · 75%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.7
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (9yr away)
Future Value: 64
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 11.3 64
RPG 5.4 76
APG 6.3 93
SPG 2.1 100
BPG 0.4 51
MPG 33.2 94
Shooting
FG% 0.412 18
3P% 0.364 56
FT% 0.822 49
TS% 0.545 28
Impact
Impact 33 9
Off Impact 32 7
Def Impact 50 54
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 13.9 45
WS 4.6 73
Box Score Impact 0.1 51
Value Over Replacement 1.4 70
Positional BSI 0.21 -0.11

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Spacing 14 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 17 (coef=0.0145)
Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0160)
Weaknesses
Inside Shooting 13 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 8 (coef=0.0152)
Shoot Off Dribble 4 (coef=0.0134)
First Step 8 (coef=0.0112)
Foul Drawing 13 (coef=0.0102)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 11.3 16.5 -5.2
RPG 5.4 7.2 -1.8
APG 6.3 4.6 +1.7
SPG 2.1 1.4 +0.7
BPG 0.4 1.1 -0.7
TPG - 1.7
FG% 0.412 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.364 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.822 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
25:75%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

33 / 100 #398 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.30z
On-Court Impact -3.17 (Off -2.70, Def -0.57)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.62z
Win Model Score: 3.5152
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
32
#406
Defense
50
#223
Confidence
100%
2657 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.21 Actual: 0.1 -0.11
Performing in line with PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

64 / 100 #54 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 60
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 62
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 71
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (33) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
54
TS%
23
BPM
47
WS/48
36
RAPM
12
USG%
19
PA/100
21
BCI
82

Shot Quality

PA/100
-6.78
Points Added
-55.4
Selection
1.062
FGA
818
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
36.2%
472 FGA (58%)
Rim
51.7%
201 FGA (25%)
Long Midrange
30.2%
63 FGA (8%)
Short Midrange
32.9%
82 FGA (10%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
17.08
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-3.0%
USG%
14.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$4.8M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.388

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,750,000
2051-52 $4,750,000
Total Owed $9,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.515
Expected WM
3.369
Dev Residual
+0.1467
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.235
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 97.4% Secondary Creator / Chaser
A
Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants 30 4.5 95.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Diego Quintillà St Louis Skyhawks 0 2.5 95.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Davor Giffey Austin Rockets 23 3.0 95.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
S
Solomone Bran Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 95.7% Stationary Shooter / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.7
Years to Peak
9
Current Win Value
13.0
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.762
Projected Peak WV
3.348
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.586

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 12 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 14 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 7 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 17 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 8 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 15 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 17 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 8 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 13 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 9 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 15 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 9 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 13 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 12 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 10 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 18 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 8 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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