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Cole Starkweather

Cole Starkweather

SG

Phoenix Vultures · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Oklahoma State · Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Dazzling two-way shooting guard

A fringe shooting guard averaging 12.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 3.4 APG. Excels in isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl), gravity (19 rating, 99th pctl) and passing (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by basketball IQ (10 rating, 13th pctl) and foul drawing (10 rating, 18th pctl).

38
Impact
57
Future
4.0
CA
4.5
PA
23
Age
$16.0M
Salary
3.530
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(9)
O Gravity Generator (S) O Lob Threat (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Floor General (B) O Sniper (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Slasher (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B)
Malik Monk
NBA Comparison
Malik Monk
2024-25
80%
Style
80%
Level
6'3" · 200lbs
15.0/3.0/4.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist
Alt comp
Mikal Bridges
2024-25 · 70%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.0
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (3yr away)
Future Value: 57
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 12.0 67
RPG 3.0 45
APG 3.4 74
SPG 1.3 76
BPG 0.8 65
MPG 25.8 61
Shooting
FG% 0.429 26
3P% 0.372 60
FT% 0.765 31
TS% 0.545 28
Impact
Impact 38 14
Off Impact 54 65
Def Impact 26 2
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.4 50
WS 2.7 50
Box Score Impact 0.5 56
Value Over Replacement 1.3 69
Positional BSI 1.25 -0.75

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 18 (coef=0.0152)
Stealing 18 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 3 (coef=0.0333)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0160)
Foul Drawing 10 (coef=0.0102)
Basketball IQ 10 (coef=0.0078)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 12.0 14.1 -2.1
RPG 3.0 3.7 -0.7
APG 3.4 4.2 -0.8
SPG 1.3 1.3 +0.0
BPG 0.8 0.7 +0.1
TPG - 1.6
FG% 0.429 0.4 -0.0
3P% 0.372 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.765 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
26:74%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

38 / 100 #382 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.26z
On-Court Impact -3.06 (Off -0.42, Def -2.73)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.05z
Win Model Score: 3.5133
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
54
#166
Defense
26
#429
Confidence
99%
2117 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.25 Actual: 0.5 -0.75
Underperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

57 / 100 #137 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 60
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 59
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 51
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (38) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
58
TS%
23
BPM
53
WS/48
21
RAPM
10
USG%
68
PA/100
46
BCI
63

Shot Quality

PA/100
-1.26
Points Added
-11.3
Selection
1.002
FGA
896
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
37.1%
428 FGA (48%)
Rim
52.0%
296 FGA (33%)
Short Midrange
27.7%
137 FGA (15%)
Long Midrange
37.1%
35 FGA (4%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
11.30
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-3.1%
USG%
21.6%
Tendencies
Salary
$16.0M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.402

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $16,000,000 Re-signed with Phoenix Vultures
2051-52 $16,000,000
2052-53 $16,000,000
Total Owed $48,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.513
Expected WM
3.441
Dev Residual
+0.0725
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.068
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 97.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser
C
Chavis Weddle Salt Lake City Saints 26 4.0 97.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Dimitris Karras Charlotte Drones 20 4.0 97.0% Glue Guy / Chaser
N
Nico Gillespie Mexico City Jaguars 30 4.0 97.0% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 97.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.0
Years to Peak
3
Current Win Value
13.1
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.603
Projected Peak WV
2.965
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.362

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 10 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 11 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 15 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 18 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 13 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 7 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 7 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 14 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 13 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 17 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 15 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 9 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 3 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 10 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 13 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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