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Devin Emery

Devin Emery

PG

New Orleans Hurricanes · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: UNLV · Alton, Illinois

Smooth shoot-and-defend guard

A star-level point guard averaging 12.9 PPG, 1.6 RPG, 6.6 APG. Excels in off-ball defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), ball dominance (19 rating, 99th pctl) and pick-and-roll execution (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by rim protection (1 rating, 7th pctl) and offensive rebounding (4 rating, 9th pctl).

62
Impact
59
Future
4.5
CA
3.0
PA
29
Age
$12.5M
Salary
3.642
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(17)
O Ankle Breaker (S) O Speed Demon (S) O Slasher (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Sniper (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Floor General (B) O Floater Game (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Shot Creator (B) D Interceptor (B) D Clamps (B) D Pick Dodger (B)
Trae Young
NBA Comparison
Trae Young
2024-25
72%
Style
72%
Level
6'1" · 164lbs
24.2/3.1/11.6 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Elite playmaker 3PT specialist Lockdown defender Ball handler
Alt comp
Darius Garland
2024-25 · 69%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.6
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 59
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 12.9 70
RPG 1.6 23
APG 6.6 95
SPG 1.6 89
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 23.6 55
Shooting
FG% 0.465 52
3P% 0.372 60
FT% 0.896 86
TS% 0.589 60
Impact
Impact 62 85
Off Impact 62 86
Def Impact 50 54
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 18.6 88
WS 4.1 68
Box Score Impact -1.7 27
Value Over Replacement 0.1 35
Positional BSI -0.14 -1.56

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 15 (coef=0.0196)
Ball Dominance 19 (coef=0.0152)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 4 (coef=0.0160)
Basketball IQ 12 (coef=0.0078)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 12.9 13.6 -0.7
RPG 1.6 1.8 -0.2
APG 6.6 4.5 +2.1
SPG 1.6 1.3 +0.3
BPG 0.1 0.2 -0.1
TPG - 1.4
FG% 0.465 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.372 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.896 0.5 +0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency
79:21%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong Win Model Score. Offense is the primary value driver.

62 / 100 #77 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.53z
On-Court Impact +1.35 (Off +0.55, Def +0.81)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.96z
Win Model Score: 3.6239
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
62
#67
Defense
50
#223
Confidence
98%
1796 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.14 Actual: -1.7 -1.56
Significantly underperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

59 / 100 #110 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 63
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 63
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 48
Future Value in line with current Impact (62)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
62
TS%
60
BPM
24
WS/48
58
RAPM
64
USG%
73
PA/100
80
BCI
95

Shot Quality

PA/100
+6.79
Points Added
+56.0
Selection
0.966
FGA
825
Zone Breakdown
Rim
55.3%
282 FGA (34%)
Above Break Three
37.4%
372 FGA (45%)
Short Midrange
38.6%
88 FGA (11%)
Long Midrange
34.9%
83 FGA (10%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
23.22
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+1.2%
USG%
22.3%
Tendencies
Salary
$12.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.505

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $12,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.624
Expected WM
3.558
Dev Residual
+0.0655
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.681
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
N
Niklas Harris Houston Lightning 30 4.5 99.2% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
T
Tra'Vaughn Tauaefa Philadelphia Warriors 27 4.0 98.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
K
Khaled Dely Indiana Stonecutters 0 3.5 98.7% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
J
Jonny Caruthers Kansas City Knights 30 4.5 98.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
G
Granddi Ayé Dallas Predators 0 3.0 98.6% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.6
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
13.6
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.663
Projected Peak WV
2.663
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 9 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 19 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 19 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 16 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 15 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 18 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 8 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 4 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 9 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 19 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 18 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 15 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 17 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 14 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 1 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 9 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 12 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 15 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 18 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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