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DJ McCants

DJ McCants

SG

Phoenix Vultures · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Cincinnati · Jersey City, New Jersey

Smooth 3-and-d forward

A solid defensive shooting guard averaging 21.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 3.1 APG. Excels in ball dominance (20 rating, 100th pctl), mid-range shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl) and defensive rebounding (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by three-point shooting (9 rating, 19th pctl).

57
Impact
66
Future
5.0
CA
4.0
PA
24
Age
$23.0M
Salary
4.039
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(16)
O Floor General (S) O Floater Game (S) O Pull-Up Threat (S) O Shot Creator (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Slasher (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Posterizer (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Gravity Generator (B) D Pick Dodger (B) D Clamps (B) D Interceptor (B) D Versatile Defender (B)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
NBA Comparison
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2024-25
63%
Style
63%
Level
6'6" · 195lbs
32.7/5.0/6.4 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Volume scorer
Alt comp
Anthony Edwards
2024-25 · 47%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 16.1
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (6yr away)
Future Value: 66
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 21.5 96
RPG 4.8 71
APG 3.1 69
SPG 1.3 76
BPG 0.7 62
MPG 25.1 59
Shooting
FG% 0.464 50
3P% 0.351 51
FT% 0.89 84
TS% 0.579 51
Impact
Impact 57 73
Off Impact 47 40
Def Impact 71 94
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 23.0 98
WS 4.0 67
Box Score Impact 2.3 77
Value Over Replacement 2.1 79
Positional BSI 1.03 +1.27

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0226)
Ball Dominance 20 (coef=0.0152)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Spacing 13 (coef=0.0196)
Weaknesses
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)
Help Defense 11 (coef=0.0040)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 21.5 14.0 +7.5
RPG 4.8 5.3 -0.6
APG 3.1 4.0 -0.9
SPG 1.3 1.1 +0.2
BPG 0.7 0.7 -0.0
TPG - 1.5
FG% 0.464 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.351 0.2 +0.1
FT% 0.89 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
15:85%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong Win Model Score. Defense is the primary value driver.

57 / 100 #125 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.38z
On-Court Impact +0.99 (Off -1.00, Def +1.99)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.96z
Win Model Score: 4.0220
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
47
#275
Defense
71
#34
Confidence
99%
1957 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.03 Actual: 2.3 +1.27
Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

66 / 100 #42 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 76
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 75
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 44
Future Value above current Impact (57) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
95
TS%
49
BPM
74
WS/48
47
RAPM
63
USG%
100
PA/100
29
BCI
66

Shot Quality

PA/100
-5.01
Points Added
-72.4
Selection
0.955
FGA
1444
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
30.5%
354 FGA (24%)
Above Break Three
34.6%
381 FGA (26%)
Long Midrange
38.7%
93 FGA (6%)
Rim
50.5%
616 FGA (43%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
11.90
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
-0.1%
USG%
37.5%
Tendencies
Salary
$23.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.499

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $23,000,000
2051-52 $23,000,000
Total Owed $46,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
4.022
Expected WM
3.443
Dev Residual
+0.5787
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.482
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 97.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 95.5% Secondary Creator / Chaser
K
Kyran Craig Houston Lightning 0 3.5 95.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 95.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Davor Giffey Austin Rockets 23 3.0 95.0% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
16.1
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
14.8
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.979
Projected Peak WV
3.232
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
5
WV Growth
+0.253

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 11 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 20 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 13 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 8 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 17 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 15 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 19 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 11 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 15 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 16 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 15 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 9 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 18 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 18 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 9 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 12 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 9 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 19 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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