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Drake Walter

Drake Walter

SG

Vancouver Wolves · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: North Carolina · Raleigh, North Carolina

Electrifying clamp-down forward

An elite two-way shooting guard averaging 17.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 5.8 APG. Excels in off-ball defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), rim protection (19 rating, 99th pctl) and self-creation (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by pick-and-roll execution (8 rating, 22nd pctl) and basketball IQ (12 rating, 25th pctl).

71
Impact
66
Future
5.0
CA
5.0
PA
28
Age
$25.0M
Salary
4.147
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)
O Ankle Breaker (S) O Iso Scorer (B) O Floor General (B) O Slasher (B) O Floater Game (B) O Gravity Generator (B) D Paint Wall (S) D Rim Eraser (S) D Help Defender (B) D Versatile Defender (B) D Chasedown Artist (B) D Clamps (B) D Interceptor (B)
Scottie Barnes
NBA Comparison
Scottie Barnes
2024-25
75%
Style
75%
Level
6'9" · 226lbs
19.0/8.5/6.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Ball handler Inside scorer
Alt comp
Jalen Williams
2024-25 · 65%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.2
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 66
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 17.0 88
RPG 6.0 81
APG 5.8 91
SPG 1.7 93
BPG 1.3 82
MPG 32.5 89
Shooting
FG% 0.513 75
3P% 0.282 26
FT% 0.877 77
TS% 0.581 53
Impact
Impact 71 94
Off Impact 60 82
Def Impact 79 98
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 18.9 90
WS 9.7 98
Box Score Impact 5.3 97
Value Over Replacement 4.9 98
Positional BSI 1.97 +3.33

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 18 (coef=0.0333)
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Weaknesses
Foul Drawing 13 (coef=0.0102)
Basketball IQ 12 (coef=0.0078)
Pick & Roll Execution 8 (coef=0.0014)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 17.0 16.6 +0.4
RPG 6.0 6.3 -0.3
APG 5.8 4.2 +1.6
SPG 1.7 1.2 +0.5
BPG 1.3 1.6 -0.3
TPG - 1.7
FG% 0.513 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.282 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.877 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
51:49%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 100%

Player Impact Breakdown

Star-level score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Hidden intangibles add significant value beyond visible skills. Defense is the primary value driver.

71 / 100 #28 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.43z
On-Court Impact +3.56 (Off +1.03, Def +2.53)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.09z
Win Model Score: 4.1310
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#90
Defense
79
#12
Confidence
100%
2635 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.97 Actual: 5.3 +3.33
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

66 / 100 #43 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 77
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 77
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 39
Future Value below current Impact (71) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG
85
TS%
50
BPM
98
WS/48
94
RAPM
91
USG%
65
PA/100
56
BCI
81

Shot Quality

PA/100
+0.37
Points Added
+4.9
Selection
0.930
FGA
1335
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
27.9%
86 FGA (6%)
Short Midrange
36.8%
348 FGA (26%)
Long Midrange
41.5%
193 FGA (14%)
Rim
53.6%
705 FGA (53%)
Other
33.3%
3 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
16.87
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
+0.5%
USG%
21.4%
Tendencies
Salary
$25.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.592

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $25,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
4.131
Expected WM
3.791
Dev Residual
+0.3399
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.428
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Damjan Nemanič Los Angeles Fireballs 30 4.5 97.3% Post Bully / Mobile Big
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 96.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
A
Antoine Thuram Oakland Tritons 0 2.0 96.1% Glue Guy / Helper
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 96.1% Slasher / Wing Stopper
K
Kinard Otero Nashville Stars 20 3.5 95.6% Slasher / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.2
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
15.0
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
3.281
Projected Peak WV
3.321
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
1
WV Growth
+0.039

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 18 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 19 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 11 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 9 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 13 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 12 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 14 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 11 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 8 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 14 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 10 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 19 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 18 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 12 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 10 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 15 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 18 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 13 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 18 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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