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Lenzelle Ndefo

Lenzelle Ndefo

SG

Philadelphia Warriors · Slasher / Wing Stopper

College: Duke · El Cajon, California

Two-way shooting forward

A rotation shooting guard averaging 1.3 PPG, 0.4 RPG, 0.4 APG. Excels in foul drawing (18 rating, 93rd pctl), speed (16 rating, 83rd pctl) and shoot off dribble (15 rating, 79th pctl). Limited by strength (4 rating, 11th pctl) and basketball IQ (10 rating, 13th pctl).

47
Impact
52
Future
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
24
Age
$2.6M
Salary
3.328
Bal WV
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 1.3 5
RPG 0.4 5
APG 0.4 9
SPG 0.2 19
BPG - 15
MPG 4.1 6
Shooting
FG% 0.379 9
3P% 0.158 18
FT% 0.1 7
TS% 0.437 4
Impact
Impact 47 40
Off Impact 47 40
Def Impact 49 49
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 8.1 14
WS 0.1 12
Box Score Impact -3.6 12
Value Over Replacement -0.1 21
Positional BSI -0.51 -3.09

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Shoot Off Dribble 15 (coef=0.0134)
Foul Drawing 18 (coef=0.0102)
First Step 14 (coef=0.0112)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0226)
Spacing 9 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 8 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 1.3 -0.4 +1.7
RPG 0.4 -0.3 +0.7
APG 0.4 -0.5 +0.9
SPG 0.2 0.2 +0.0
BPG 0.0 -0.0 +0.0
TPG - -0.1
FG% 0.379 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.158 0.3 -0.2
FT% 0.1 0.5 -0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
76:24%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 165 min — score regressed toward league average.

47 / 100 #273 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.85z
On-Court Impact -2.06 (Off -1.83, Def -0.25)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.67z
Win Model Score: 3.3163
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
47
#275
Defense
49
#247
Confidence
27%
165 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.51 Actual: -3.6 -3.09
Significantly underperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

52 / 100 #237 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 52
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 51
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 54
Future Value above current Impact (47) — trajectory is positive

Shot Quality

PA/100
-15.39
Points Added
-9.5
Selection
0.944
FGA
62
Zone Breakdown
Long Midrange
66.7%
3 FGA (5%)
Short Midrange
28.6%
14 FGA (23%)
Above Break Three
15.0%
20 FGA (32%)
Rim
56.0%
25 FGA (40%)
Tendencies
Salary
$2.6M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.423

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,625,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.316
Expected WM
3.390
Dev Residual
-0.0734
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.737
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 97.9% Secondary Creator / Chaser
K
Kinard Otero Nashville Stars 20 3.5 97.2% Slasher / Wing Stopper
D
Deandre Patterson Detroit Mustangs 21 3.0 97.1% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 97.0% Secondary Creator / Chaser
S
Solomone Bran Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 97.0% Stationary Shooter / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.7
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
12.3
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.470
Projected Peak WV
2.744
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
5
WV Growth
+0.274

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 18 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 11 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 11 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 9 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 12 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 9 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 12 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 4 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 8 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 12 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 12 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 15 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 15 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 5 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 13 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 10 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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