Deandre Patterson

Detroit Mustangs · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: NC State · Richmond, Virginia

Creative hustle forward

A rotation shooting guard averaging 5.2 PPG, 1.6 RPG, 2.0 APG. Excels in three-point shooting (19 rating, 99th pctl), foul drawing (19 rating, 98th pctl) and quickness (16 rating, 87th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (4 rating, 5th pctl) and ball dominance (7 rating, 7th pctl).

Impact

Future

3.0

4.0

Age

$2.8M

Salary

3.242

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(10)

O Sniper (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Floater Game (B) O Posterizer (B) O Slasher (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Speed Demon (B) D Clamps (B) D Pick Dodger (B)

NBA Comparison

Bogdan Bogdanovic

2024-25

79%

Style

79%

Level

6'6" · 205lbs

10.5/2.5/3.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)

3PT specialist

Alt comp

Ayo Dosunmu

2024-25 · 77%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 15.0

Stage: Developing

Peak Age: 29 (10yr away)

Future Value: 52

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	5.2	25
RPG	1.6	23
APG	2.0	54
SPG	0.8	56
BPG	0.1	33
MPG	19.0	44
Shooting
FG%	0.412	18
3P%	0.346	47
FT%	0.772	33
TS%	0.541	25
Impact
Impact	46	37
Off Impact	52	59
Def Impact	41	18
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	9.4	15
WS	1.5	33
Box Score Impact	0.1	51
Value Over Replacement	0.6	52
Positional BSI	-0.23	+0.33

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)

Spacing 16 (coef=0.0196)

Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)

Stealing 15 (coef=0.0145)

Shoot Off Dribble 15 (coef=0.0134)

Weaknesses

Defensive Rebounding 4 (coef=0.0226)

Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)

Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)

Passing 8 (coef=0.0156)

Ball Dominance 7 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	5.2	9.8	-4.6
RPG	1.6	1.1	+0.5
APG	2.0	1.0	+1.0
SPG	0.8	0.9	-0.1
BPG	0.1	0.1	-0.0
TPG	-	1.0
FG%	0.412	0.5	-0.1
3P%	0.346	0.4	-0.0
FT%	0.772	0.5	+0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency

82:18%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%

Wing 80%

Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest Win Model Score.

46 / 100 #293 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.10z

On-Court Impact -0.21 (Off +0.06, Def -0.27)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.54z

Win Model Score: 3.2290

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#187

Defense

#366

Confidence

84%

1064 min

Position Model (SG)

Predicted Positional BSI: -0.23 Actual: 0.1 +0.33

Performing in line with SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

52 / 100 #227 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 51

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 52

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 54

Future Value above current Impact (46) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

-11.18

Points Added

-30.2

Selection

1.030

FGA

270

Zone Breakdown

Above Break Three

34.6%

133 FGA (49%)

Long Midrange

53.3%

15 FGA (6%)

Rim

40.9%

93 FGA (34%)

Short Midrange

31.0%

29 FGA (11%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

9.26

Load Tier

Poor

Eff Delta

-3.3%

USG%

12.7%

Tendencies

Salary

$2.8M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

Team Option

Status

Trade Value

0.422

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$2,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.229

Expected WM

3.287

Dev Residual

-0.0584

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.845

PA Tier

High

Upside Gap

1.0

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
S	Solomone Bran	Oakland Tritons	0	3.0	98.0%	Stationary Shooter / Chaser
T	Tawaski Casuga	Detroit Mustangs	26	4.0	97.1%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
L	Lenzelle Ndefo	Philadelphia Warriors	24	3.5	97.1%	Slasher / Wing Stopper
M	Marcus Pendleton	Oakland Tritons	21	3.0	96.9%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
W	Wen Dunmore	Cincinnati Kings	0	3.0	95.6%	Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

15.0

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

12.2

Confidence

LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.292

Projected Peak WV

2.822

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.531

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	19	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	9	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	14	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	7	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	16	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	16	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	7	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	9	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	15	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	17	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	4	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	9	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	16	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	8	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	8	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	17	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	13	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	19	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	12	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	15	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	15	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	1	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	17	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	11	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	15	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	13	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	16	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	10	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	13	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	15	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	16	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	15	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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