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Marcus Pendleton

Marcus Pendleton

SG

Oakland Tritons · Secondary Creator / Chaser

College: Kansas State · Phillipsburg, Kansas

Flashy shoot-and-defend guard

A fringe scoring shooting guard averaging 23.4 PPG, 1.9 RPG, 6.5 APG. Excels in quickness (18 rating, 98th pctl), 23.4 PPG (98th pctl) and 1.9 SPG (98th pctl). Limited by offensive rebounding (4 rating, 9th pctl) and ball dominance (8 rating, 15th pctl).

25
Impact
51
Future
3.0
CA
3.5
PA
21
Age
$2.1M
Salary
3.016
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(6)
O Ankle Breaker (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Sniper (B) O Iso Scorer (B) D Pick Dodger (B)
LaMelo Ball
NBA Comparison
LaMelo Ball
2024-25
70%
Style
70%
Level
6'6" · 180lbs
25.2/4.9/7.4 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Volume scorer 3PT specialist Lockdown defender
Alt comp
Stephen Curry
2024-25 · 67%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.7
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (10yr away)
Future Value: 51
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 23.4 98
RPG 1.9 28
APG 6.5 94
SPG 1.9 98
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 33.0 92
Shooting
FG% 0.455 42
3P% 0.341 43
FT% 0.847 63
TS% 0.572 47
Impact
Impact 25 3
Off Impact 44 30
Def Impact 15 0
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 18.6 88
WS 1.4 32
Box Score Impact -1.3 31
Value Over Replacement 0.3 44
Positional BSI -0.88 -0.42

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Spacing 17 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 16 (coef=0.0156)
First Step 16 (coef=0.0112)
Endurance 17 (coef=0.0098)
Shoot Off Dribble 11 (coef=0.0134)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 7 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 4 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0155)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 23.4 17.1 +6.3
RPG 1.9 3.6 -1.8
APG 6.5 5.1 +1.4
SPG 1.9 1.3 +0.6
BPG 0.2 0.6 -0.3
TPG - 1.8
FG% 0.455 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.341 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.847 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
41:59%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Replacement-level score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

25 / 100 #426 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.48z
On-Court Impact -3.60 (Off -0.48, Def -3.13)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.19z
Win Model Score: 3.0040
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
44
#324
Defense
15
#435
Confidence
96%
1582 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.88 Actual: -1.3 -0.42
Performing in line with SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

51 / 100 #255 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 45
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 44
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 66
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (25) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
97
TS%
44
BPM
29
WS/48
12
RAPM
0
USG%
95
PA/100
40
BCI
85

Shot Quality

PA/100
-2.55
Points Added
-24.8
Selection
1.007
FGA
974
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
34.0%
420 FGA (43%)
Rim
53.7%
328 FGA (34%)
Long Midrange
34.1%
82 FGA (8%)
Short Midrange
41.5%
142 FGA (15%)
Other
50.0%
2 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
17.90
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
-0.6%
USG%
29.4%
Tendencies
Salary
$2.1M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.252

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,150,000
2051-52 $2,150,000
Total Owed $4,300,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.004
Expected WM
3.247
Dev Residual
-0.2429
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.567
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.9% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Tawaski Casuga Detroit Mustangs 26 4.0 97.5% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 97.3% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
S
Solomone Bran Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 97.2% Stationary Shooter / Chaser
D
Deandre Patterson Detroit Mustangs 21 3.0 96.9% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.7
Years to Peak
10
Current Win Value
11.6
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.120
Projected Peak WV
2.705
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.586

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 14 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 12 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 11 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 17 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 11 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 13 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 11 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 5 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 4 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 7 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 10 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 16 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 15 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 16 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 11 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 2 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 14 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 7 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 17 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 14 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 18 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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