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Darius Blackwell

Darius Blackwell

SG

New Orleans Hurricanes · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: UNLV · Rancho Cucamonga, California

Skilled 3-and-d guard

A solid shooting guard averaging 14.1 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 6.2 APG. Excels in isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl), off-ball defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and floor spacing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by rim protection (1 rating, 7th pctl) and offensive rebounding (5 rating, 15th pctl).

53
Impact
55
Future
4.0
CA
4.5
PA
21
Age
$6.0M
Salary
3.311
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(11)
O Iso Scorer (S) O Gravity Generator (B) O Floater Game (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Slasher (B) O Floor General (B) O Sniper (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Shot Creator (B) D Interceptor (S)
Immanuel Quickley
NBA Comparison
Immanuel Quickley
2024-25
74%
Style
74%
Level
6'3" · 190lbs
15.5/4.5/6.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Malik Monk
2024-25 · 70%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.5
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (10yr away)
Future Value: 55
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 14.1 74
RPG 2.6 39
APG 6.2 92
SPG 1.4 80
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 30.3 77
Shooting
FG% 0.424 22
3P% 0.294 28
FT% 0.873 73
TS% 0.538 24
Impact
Impact 53 62
Off Impact 56 72
Def Impact 49 49
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 15.5 61
WS 3.8 64
Box Score Impact 0.1 51
Value Over Replacement 1.0 63
Positional BSI 0.57 -0.47

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 19 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Passing 16 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 17 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 3 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)
Post Execution 4 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 14.1 15.6 -1.5
RPG 2.6 2.9 -0.3
APG 6.2 5.3 +0.9
SPG 1.4 1.5 -0.1
BPG 0.2 0.2 -0.1
TPG - 1.7
FG% 0.424 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.294 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.873 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
43:57%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 50%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by solid On-Court Impact.

53 / 100 #177 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.34z
On-Court Impact +0.89 (Off -0.40, Def +1.29)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.01z
Win Model Score: 3.2950
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
56
#138
Defense
49
#247
Confidence
98%
1819 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.57 Actual: 0.1 -0.47
Performing in line with SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

55 / 100 #175 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 56
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 56
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 52
Future Value in line with current Impact (53)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
68
TS%
19
BPM
47
WS/48
48
RAPM
64
USG%
65
PA/100
17
BCI
82

Shot Quality

PA/100
-8.29
Points Added
-64.8
Selection
1.007
FGA
782
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
34.8%
89 FGA (11%)
Above Break Three
29.3%
352 FGA (45%)
Rim
53.7%
309 FGA (40%)
Long Midrange
30.0%
30 FGA (4%)
Other
50.0%
2 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
17.29
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-3.8%
USG%
21.3%
Tendencies
Salary
$6.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.497

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $5,950,000 New Orleans Hurricanes exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.295
Expected WM
3.328
Dev Residual
-0.0330
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.963
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 98.5% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 98.1% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M
Marcus Pendleton Oakland Tritons 21 3.0 97.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
Q
Quintin Tomlinson Baltimore Bullets 24 4.0 97.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jade Ahelegbe St Louis Skyhawks 26 4.0 97.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.5
Years to Peak
10
Current Win Value
12.7
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.310
Projected Peak WV
2.825
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.514

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 14 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 19 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 18 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 19 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 4 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 17 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 8 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 5 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 6 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 11 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 16 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 14 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 16 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 1 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 3 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 10 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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