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Quintin Tomlinson

Quintin Tomlinson

SG

Baltimore Bullets · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Wichita State · Champlin, Minnesota

Clutch offense-first guard

A rotation shooting guard averaging 3.4 PPG, 0.6 RPG, 0.2 APG. Excels in basketball IQ (20 rating, 100th pctl), perimeter defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and three-point shooting (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by ball dominance (7 rating, 7th pctl) and post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl).

44
Impact
53
Future
4.0
CA
2.5
PA
24
Age
$2.5M
Salary
3.269
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)
O Gravity Generator (G) O Floater Game (S) O Shot Creator (S) O Sniper (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Catch & Shoot (S) O Pop Threat (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Slasher (B) D Interceptor (S) D Pick Dodger (B) D Help Defender (B) D Charge Taker (B)
Jalen Green
NBA Comparison
Poor Man's Jalen Green
2024-25
74%
Style
74%
Level
6'4" · 186lbs
21.0/4.6/3.4 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist
Alt comp
Paul George
2023-24 · 72%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.6
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)
Future Value: 53
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 3.4 15
RPG 0.6 7
APG 0.2 5
SPG 0.3 26
BPG - 15
MPG 6.0 9
Shooting
FG% 0.411 17
3P% 0.39 70
FT% 0.704 18
TS% 0.541 25
Impact
Impact 44 28
Off Impact 46 37
Def Impact 46 33
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 11.8 24
WS -0.1 5
Box Score Impact -5.3 4
Value Over Replacement -0.2 14
Positional BSI 1.82 -7.12

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Spacing 15 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 17 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0160)
Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 3.4 1.1 +2.3
RPG 0.6 -0.9 +1.5
APG 0.2 -0.3 +0.5
SPG 0.3 0.5 -0.2
BPG 0.0 -0.4 +0.4
TPG - 0.1
FG% 0.411 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.39 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.704 0.5 +0.2

Play Style

Driving Frequency
41:59%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 239 min — score regressed toward league average.

44 / 100 #329 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.48z
On-Court Impact -1.14 (Off -0.72, Def -0.43)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.23z
Win Model Score: 3.2547
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
46
#289
Defense
46
#313
Confidence
31%
239 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.82 Actual: -5.3 -7.12
Significantly underperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

53 / 100 #211 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 52
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 51
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 55
Future Value above current Impact (44) — trajectory is positive

Shot Quality

PA/100
-6.82
Points Added
-8.5
Selection
1.036
FGA
125
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
39.1%
64 FGA (51%)
Rim
42.5%
40 FGA (32%)
Short Midrange
12.5%
16 FGA (13%)
Long Midrange
80.0%
5 FGA (4%)
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.414

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,500,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Baltimore Bullets

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.255
Expected WM
3.283
Dev Residual
-0.0278
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.597
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 97.4% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 97.3% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
C
Chavis Weddle Salt Lake City Saints 26 4.0 96.5% Secondary Creator / Chaser
A
Anthony Beamer Miami Cyclones 24 4.0 96.1% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.6
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
12.4
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.265
Projected Peak WV
2.488
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
5
WV Growth
+0.223

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 18 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 15 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 15 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 4 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 8 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 9 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 7 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 8 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 12 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 10 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 19 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 13 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 17 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 2 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 2 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 20 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 12 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 13 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 10 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 18 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 10 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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