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Jade Ahelegbe

Jade Ahelegbe

SG

St Louis Skyhawks · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: UConn · Windsor, Connecticut

Flashy 3-and-d guard

A solid shooting guard averaging 7.0 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 3.4 APG. Excels in ball handling (20 rating, 100th pctl), playmaking (20 rating, 100th pctl) and stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (2 rating, 1st pctl) and post defense (4 rating, 24th pctl).

55
Impact
56
Future
4.0
CA
2.0
PA
26
Age
$4.0M
Salary
3.432
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(11)
O Floor General (G) O Floater Game (S) O Catch & Shoot (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Sniper (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Pop Threat (B) O Slasher (B) O PnR Maestro (B) D Interceptor (S) D Help Defender (B)
Kyle Lowry
NBA Comparison
Kyle Lowry
2021-22
71%
Style
71%
Level
6'0" · 196lbs
13.4/4.5/7.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Lockdown defender Ball handler
Alt comp
Malik Monk
2024-25 · 64%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.6
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (5yr away)
Future Value: 56
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 7.0 40
RPG 1.0 11
APG 3.4 74
SPG 1.0 64
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 17.4 38
Shooting
FG% 0.41 17
3P% 0.357 53
FT% 0.829 53
TS% 0.547 30
Impact
Impact 55 69
Off Impact 63 89
Def Impact 39 14
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.2 48
WS 1.7 36
Box Score Impact -2.8 18
Value Over Replacement -0.2 14
Positional BSI 0.75 -3.55

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 19 (coef=0.0196)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 4 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 2 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 6 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0160)
Shoot Off Dribble 5 (coef=0.0134)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 7.0 8.3 -1.3
RPG 1.0 -0.0 +1.0
APG 3.4 4.0 -0.6
SPG 1.0 1.0 -0.0
BPG 0.1 0.2 -0.1
TPG - 0.9
FG% 0.41 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.357 0.4 -0.0
FT% 0.829 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
47:53%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by solid Win Model Score. Offense is the primary value driver.

55 / 100 #150 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.27z
On-Court Impact +0.70 (Off +0.89, Def -0.19)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.38z
Win Model Score: 3.4164
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
63
#60
Defense
39
#382
Confidence
91%
1285 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.75 Actual: -2.8 -3.55
Significantly underperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

56 / 100 #163 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 57
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 56
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 55
Future Value in line with current Impact (55)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
25
TS%
25
BPM
15
WS/48
21
RAPM
56
USG%
41
PA/100
34
BCI
83

Shot Quality

PA/100
-3.80
Points Added
-18.0
Selection
0.989
FGA
473
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
35.4%
260 FGA (55%)
Long Midrange
39.5%
38 FGA (8%)
Rim
45.4%
119 FGA (25%)
Short Midrange
32.1%
56 FGA (12%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
17.48
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-2.9%
USG%
18.2%
Tendencies
Salary
$4.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.454

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.416
Expected WM
3.297
Dev Residual
+0.1192
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.651
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-2.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
A
Anthony Beamer Miami Cyclones 24 4.0 98.7% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 97.2% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 97.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M
Marcus Pendleton Oakland Tritons 21 3.0 96.5% Secondary Creator / Chaser
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 95.9% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.6
Years to Peak
5
Current Win Value
12.9
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.480
Projected Peak WV
2.614
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
3
WV Growth
+0.134

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 17 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 18 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 19 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 4 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 20 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 2 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 7 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 11 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 13 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 13 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 18 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 20 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 5 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 6 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 4 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 18 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 9 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 10 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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