Jaleel Porter
SGChicago Jailbirds · Secondary Creator / Chaser
College: Arkansas · Lineville, Alabama
Smooth high-motor wing
A rotation shooting guard averaging 3.5 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.5 APG. Excels in quickness (17 rating, 95th pctl), first step (17 rating, 95th pctl) and athleticism (17 rating, 93rd pctl). Limited by interior scoring (11 rating, 1st pctl) and help defense (9 rating, 11th pctl).
46
Impact
47
Future
3.0
CA
3.5
PA
20
Age
$2.0M
2.943
Bal WV
Skill Badges
(1)
O
Sniper
(B)
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 14 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 16 (coef=0.0156)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0160)
First Step 17 (coef=0.0112)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 7 (coef=0.0333)
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)
Inside Shooting 11 (coef=0.0155)
Expected vs Actual Production
| Stat | Actual | Expected | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPG | 3.5 | 5.8 | -2.3 |
| RPG | 2.0 | 1.1 | +0.9 |
| APG | 2.5 | 1.3 | +1.2 |
| SPG | 0.5 | 0.4 | +0.1 |
| BPG | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| TPG | - | 0.7 | |
| FG% | 0.286 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
| 3P% | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| FT% | 0.1 | 0.5 | -0.3 |
Play Style
Driving Frequency
72:28%
Positional Fit
Guard
80%
Wing
80%
Big
70%
Player Impact Breakdown
Limited to 25 min — score regressed toward league average.
46
/ 100
#293 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight
-0.79z
On-Court Impact -1.90 (Off -0.96, Def -0.95)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-1.73z
Win Model Score: 2.9305
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
48
#259
Defense
46
#313
Confidence
19%
25 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI:
-1.05
Actual:
2.1
+3.15
Significantly outperforming SG model predictions
Future Value
Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.
47
/ 100
#329 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight
41
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight
40
Contract Surplus — 30% weight
62
Future Value in line with current Impact (46)
Tendencies
Salary
$2.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.437
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $2,050,000 | |
| 2051-52 | $2,050,000 | |
| Total Owed | $4,100,000 |
Win Model Development
Win Model Score
2.930
Expected WM
3.199
Dev Residual
-0.2685
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.542
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive
Win Value Development
Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.6
Years to Peak
11
Current Win Value
11.1
Confidence
LOW
Win Value Trajectory
Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)
Current WV
2.211
Projected Peak WV
2.907
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.696
Rating Trainability
| Rating | Current | Growth/yr | Class | Peak Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foul Drawing | 16 | +1.23 | High Growth | 31 |
| Help Defense | 9 | +0.66 | High Growth | 27 |
| Off-Ball Defense | 11 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Ball Dominance | 13 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Gravity | 14 | +0.52 | High Growth | 29 |
| Spacing | 14 | +0.45 | High Growth | 18 |
| Post Execution | 1 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Playmaking | 9 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Stealing | 10 | +0.38 | High Growth | 19 |
| Finishing | 9 | +0.37 | High Growth | 27 |
| Defensive Rebounding | 6 | +0.37 | High Growth | 18 |
| Offensive Rebounding | 14 | +0.36 | High Growth | 18 |
| Strength | 10 | +0.35 | High Growth | 18 |
| Pick & Roll Execution | 15 | +0.34 | High Growth | 18 |
| Passing | 16 | +0.33 | High Growth | 18 |
| Self-Creation | 10 | +0.32 | High Growth | 19 |
| Isolation Execution | 15 | +0.32 | High Growth | 18 |
| 3PT Shooting | 16 | +0.31 | High Growth | 19 |
| Ball Handling | 13 | +0.30 | High Growth | 19 |
| On-Ball Perimeter Defense | 10 | +0.30 | High Growth | 18 |
| Shoot Off Dribble | 9 | +0.28 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Rim Protection | 5 | +0.26 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Inside Shooting | 11 | +0.25 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Post Defense | 7 | +0.17 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Basketball IQ | 15 | +0.07 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Endurance | 9 | +0.05 | Low Growth | 20 |
| Speed | 11 | +0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Free Throws | 17 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| First Step | 17 | -0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Mid-Range Shooting | 11 | -0.03 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Quickness | 17 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Athleticism | 17 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |