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Jameel Bucklin

Jameel Bucklin

SG

New York Renegades · Glue Guy / Wing Stopper

College: Stanford · Hesperia, California

Athletic 3-and-d guard

A rotation shooting guard averaging 2.9 PPG, 1.1 RPG, 0.5 APG. Excels in finishing (19 rating, 98th pctl), endurance (17 rating, 96th pctl) and free throws (17 rating, 88th pctl). Limited by passing (5 rating, 8th pctl) and foul drawing (9 rating, 12th pctl).

46
Impact
53
Future
3.0
CA
3.0
PA
23
Age
$1.8M
Salary
3.295
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(5)
O Slasher (B) O Posterizer (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Floater Game (B) O Speed Demon (B)
Andrew Wiggins
NBA Comparison
Discount Andrew Wiggins
2024-25
90%
Style
90%
Level
6'7" · 197lbs
15.0/5.0/2.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Keegan Murray
2024-25 · 81%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.2
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (3yr away)
Future Value: 53
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 2.9 14
RPG 1.1 14
APG 0.5 14
SPG 0.3 26
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 7.9 13
Shooting
FG% 0.373 7
3P% 0.314 33
FT% 0.762 30
TS% 0.482 7
Impact
Impact 46 37
Off Impact 44 30
Def Impact 51 59
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 9.0 15
WS - 9
Box Score Impact -4.5 6
Value Over Replacement -0.2 14
Positional BSI -1.78 -2.72

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Spacing 12 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 15 (coef=0.0145)
First Step 15 (coef=0.0112)
Endurance 17 (coef=0.0098)
Weaknesses
3PT Shooting 11 (coef=0.0196)
Offensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0160)
Passing 5 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 2.9 0.8 +2.1
RPG 1.1 1.2 -0.1
APG 0.5 -1.1 +1.6
SPG 0.3 0.4 -0.1
BPG 0.2 0.3 -0.1
TPG - 0.0
FG% 0.373 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.314 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.762 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
38:62%

Positional Fit

Guard 70%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 243 min — score regressed toward league average.

46 / 100 #293 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.57z
On-Court Impact -1.36 (Off -1.55, Def +0.18)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.86z
Win Model Score: 3.2831
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
44
#324
Defense
51
#202
Confidence
32%
243 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.78 Actual: -4.5 -2.72
Significantly underperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

53 / 100 #219 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 52
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 51
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 55
Future Value above current Impact (46) — trajectory is positive

Shot Quality

PA/100
-20.33
Points Added
-18.3
Selection
1.014
FGA
90
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
31.4%
35 FGA (39%)
Rim
38.9%
36 FGA (40%)
Short Midrange
28.6%
14 FGA (16%)
Long Midrange
40.0%
5 FGA (6%)
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.406

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000 New York Renegades exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.283
Expected WM
3.293
Dev Residual
-0.0099
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.708
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Slightly Behind
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
K
Kinard Otero Nashville Stars 20 3.5 96.2% Slasher / Wing Stopper
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 96.0% Slasher / Wing Stopper
A
Antoine Thuram Oakland Tritons 0 2.0 94.8% Glue Guy / Helper
S
Solomone Bran Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 94.7% Stationary Shooter / Chaser
T
Tawaski Casuga Detroit Mustangs 26 4.0 94.5% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.2
Years to Peak
3
Current Win Value
12.4
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.514
Projected Peak WV
2.884
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.370

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 9 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 13 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 11 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 13 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 15 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 13 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 8 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 13 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 7 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 5 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 11 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 11 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 15 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 7 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 8 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 17 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 11 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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