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Jimmy Cougar III

Jimmy Cougar III

SG

Cincinnati Kings · Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper

College: Villanova · New York, New York

Skilled two-way forward

An elite two-way shooting guard averaging 13.2 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 1.8 APG. Excels in three-point shooting (19 rating, 99th pctl), rim protection (19 rating, 99th pctl) and basketball IQ (19 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by shoot off dribble (2 rating, 9th pctl) and pick-and-roll execution (7 rating, 15th pctl).

73
Impact
66
Future
3.5
CA
3.0
PA
33
Age
$6.0M
Salary
4.113
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)
O Floater Game (S) O Sniper (S) O Glass Cleaner (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) D Interceptor (S) D Rim Eraser (S) D Help Defender (S) D Paint Wall (B) D Pick Dodger (B) D Versatile Defender (B) D Clamps (B) D Charge Taker (B)
Paul George
NBA Comparison
Paul George
2023-24
78%
Style
78%
Level
6'8" · 220lbs
22.6/5.2/3.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Lockdown defender Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Trey Murphy III
2024-25 · 65%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.3
Stage: Declining
Peak Age: 33 (past peak)
Future Value: 66
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 13.2 71
RPG 4.7 70
APG 1.8 50
SPG 1.7 93
BPG 1.2 78
MPG 27.8 66
Shooting
FG% 0.458 45
3P% 0.416 84
FT% 0.723 22
TS% 0.595 66
Impact
Impact 73 96
Off Impact 56 72
Def Impact 78 97
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 15.3 59
WS 5.7 81
Box Score Impact 4.8 95
Value Over Replacement 3.8 95
Positional BSI 1.87 +2.93

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
Post Defense 14 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Weaknesses
Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)
Shoot Off Dribble 2 (coef=0.0134)
Foul Drawing 13 (coef=0.0102)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0094)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 13.2 15.4 -2.2
RPG 4.7 6.8 -2.1
APG 1.8 1.4 +0.4
SPG 1.7 1.1 +0.6
BPG 1.2 1.5 -0.3
TPG - 1.5
FG% 0.458 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.416 0.4 -0.0
FT% 0.723 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
15:85%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Star-level score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

73 / 100 #21 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.47z
On-Court Impact +3.67 (Off +1.41, Def +2.16)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.29z
Win Model Score: 4.0991
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
56
#138
Defense
78
#13
Confidence
99%
2196 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.87 Actual: 4.8 +2.93
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

66 / 100 #37 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 68
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 70
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 58
Future Value below current Impact (73) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG
64
TS%
66
BPM
95
WS/48
70
RAPM
92
USG%
52
PA/100
69
BCI
20

Shot Quality

PA/100
+3.47
Points Added
+37.8
Selection
1.063
FGA
1091
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
41.0%
620 FGA (57%)
Short Midrange
37.9%
161 FGA (15%)
Long Midrange
36.4%
33 FGA (3%)
Rim
52.3%
277 FGA (25%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
4.51
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+1.9%
USG%
19.5%
Tendencies
Salary
$6.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.602

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $6,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
4.099
Expected WM
3.717
Dev Residual
+0.3817
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.099
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Diego Quintillà St Louis Skyhawks 0 2.5 95.4% Secondary Creator / Chaser
W
Wen Dunmore Cincinnati Kings 0 3.0 95.4% Secondary Creator / Chaser
A
Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants 30 4.5 95.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 94.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
A
Antoine Thuram Oakland Tritons 0 2.0 94.7% Glue Guy / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Declining
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Value
14.3
Years to Peak
-4
Current Win Value
14.3
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
3.231
Projected Peak WV
3.231
Peak Age
33
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 11 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 16 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 15 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 18 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 15 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 7 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 10 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 10 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 19 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 14 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 2 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 19 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 14 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 10 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 9 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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