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Joe Beck-Taylor

Joe Beck-Taylor

SG

St Louis Skyhawks · Shot Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Louisville · Jackson, Mississippi

Cerebral 3-and-d forward

A solid shooting guard averaging 6.5 PPG, 1.8 RPG, 1.5 APG. Excels in free throws (19 rating, 99th pctl), perimeter defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and finishing (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by stealing (5 rating, 12th pctl) and self-creation (9 rating, 16th pctl).

51
Impact
64
Future
4.0
CA
2.5
PA
29
Age
$10.0M
Salary
3.866
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)
O Floater Game (S) O Floor General (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Gravity Generator (B) D Help Defender (B) D Paint Wall (B)
Franz Wagner
NBA Comparison
Poor Man's Franz Wagner
2024-25
83%
Style
83%
Level
6'10" · 220lbs
24.2/5.7/4.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Jalen Williams
2024-25 · 81%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.6
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (past peak)
Future Value: 64
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 6.5 36
RPG 1.8 27
APG 1.5 45
SPG 0.6 47
BPG 0.4 51
MPG 12.7 20
Shooting
FG% 0.426 23
3P% 0.344 45
FT% 0.884 81
TS% 0.524 17
Impact
Impact 51 55
Off Impact 48 44
Def Impact 58 78
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.8 53
WS 0.8 25
Box Score Impact -2.6 19
Value Over Replacement -0.2 14
Positional BSI 0.91 -3.51

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
Post Defense 15 (coef=0.0333)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Spacing 5 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 5 (coef=0.0145)
Endurance 7 (coef=0.0098)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)
Self-Creation 9 (coef=-0.0039)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 6.5 5.0 +1.5
RPG 1.8 3.1 -1.3
APG 1.5 1.1 +0.5
SPG 0.6 0.1 +0.5
BPG 0.4 0.8 -0.4
TPG - 0.4
FG% 0.426 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.344 0.4 -0.1
FT% 0.884 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
75:25%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by weak Hidden Rating Impact. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.

51 / 100 #213 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.01z
On-Court Impact +0.08 (Off -0.46, Def +0.52)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.57z
Win Model Score: 3.8501
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
48
#259
Defense
58
#105
Confidence
84%
1043 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.91 Actual: -2.6 -3.51
Significantly underperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

64 / 100 #56 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 63
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 63
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 64
Future Value above current Impact (51) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
22
TS%
12
BPM
17
WS/48
11
RAPM
80
USG%
81
PA/100
13

Shot Quality

PA/100
-10.18
Points Added
-51.5
Selection
0.962
FGA
506
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
26.7%
90 FGA (18%)
Rim
44.5%
211 FGA (42%)
Long Midrange
42.7%
75 FGA (15%)
Above Break Three
34.9%
129 FGA (26%)
Other
100.0%
1 FGA (0%)
Tendencies
Salary
$10.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.425

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $9,975,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with St Louis Skyhawks
2051-52 $9,975,000
Total Owed $19,950,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.850
Expected WM
3.474
Dev Residual
+0.3761
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.001
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Damjan Nemanič Los Angeles Fireballs 30 4.5 97.1% Post Bully / Mobile Big
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 96.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
A
Antoine Thuram Oakland Tritons 0 2.0 96.3% Glue Guy / Helper
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 96.2% Slasher / Wing Stopper
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 95.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.6
Years to Peak
0
Current Win Value
13.6
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
3.083
Projected Peak WV
3.083
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 14 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 5 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 5 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 11 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 6 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 13 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 9 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 18 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 14 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 9 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 14 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 15 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 7 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 9 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 19 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 10 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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