Jordan Kingsley

Jordan Kingsley

SG

Austin Rockets · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Augusta, Canada

Shoot-and-defend wing

A rotation shooting guard averaging 5.5 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 0.7 APG. Excels in defensive rebounding (18 rating, 89th pctl), free throws (17 rating, 88th pctl) and endurance (14 rating, 77th pctl). Limited by playmaking (4 rating, 16th pctl) and post execution (2 rating, 19th pctl).

45
Impact
54
Future
3.5
CA
2.5
PA
20
Age
$4.0M
Salary
3.567
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(1)
O Sniper (B)
Andrew Wiggins
NBA Comparison
Budget Andrew Wiggins
2024-25
88%
Style
88%
Level
6'7" · 197lbs
15.0/5.0/2.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Keegan Murray
2024-25 · 78%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.6
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (6yr away)
Future Value: 54
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 5.5 28
RPG 2.1 33
APG 0.7 22
SPG 0.6 47
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 14.2 26
Shooting
FG% 0.402 13
3P% 0.261 24
FT% 0.857 67
TS% 0.5 9
Impact
Impact 45 33
Off Impact 44 30
Def Impact 49 49
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 10.0 17
WS 0.1 12
Box Score Impact -3.8 11
Value Over Replacement -0.4 11
Positional BSI -1.06 -2.74

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Ball Dominance 16 (coef=0.0152)
Spacing 12 (coef=0.0196)
Weaknesses
Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)
Playmaking 4 (coef=0.0101)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0094)
Basketball IQ 12 (coef=0.0078)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 5.5 6.4 -0.9
RPG 2.1 3.5 -1.4
APG 0.7 0.1 +0.6
SPG 0.6 0.5 +0.1
BPG 0.2 0.5 -0.3
TPG - 0.7
FG% 0.402 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.261 0.3 -0.1
FT% 0.857 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
79:21%

Positional Fit

Guard 70%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest On-Court Impact. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.

45 / 100 #312 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.70z
On-Court Impact -1.70 (Off -1.30, Def -0.38)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.01z
Win Model Score: 3.5513
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
44
#324
Defense
49
#247
Confidence
82%
994 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.06 Actual: -3.8 -2.74
Significantly underperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

54 / 100 #190 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 54
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 53
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 54
Future Value above current Impact (45) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
12
TS%
4
BPM
8
WS/48
5
RAPM
37
USG%
61
PA/100
8
BCI
10

Shot Quality

PA/100
-13.14
Points Added
-54.0
Selection
0.990
FGA
411
Zone Breakdown
Rim
55.8%
147 FGA (36%)
Above Break Three
25.6%
168 FGA (41%)
Short Midrange
28.1%
64 FGA (16%)
Long Midrange
38.7%
31 FGA (8%)
Other
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
3.39
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-7.6%
USG%
20.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$4.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.427

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,000,000 Austin Rockets exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.551
Expected WM
3.127
Dev Residual
+0.4247
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.049
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
A
Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants 30 4.5 96.9% Secondary Creator / Chaser
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 96.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 96.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 96.0% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Daevon Nash Oakland Tritons 23 5.0 95.6% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.6
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
12.6
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.757
Projected Peak WV
3.420
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.663

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 15 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 10 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 4 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 12 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 15 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 18 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 10 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 8 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 10 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 12 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 13 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 10 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 9 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 12 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 11 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 12 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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