Jordan Kingsley
SGAustin Rockets · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
Augusta, Canada
Shoot-and-defend wing
A rotation shooting guard averaging 5.5 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 0.7 APG. Excels in defensive rebounding (18 rating, 89th pctl), free throws (17 rating, 88th pctl) and endurance (14 rating, 77th pctl). Limited by playmaking (4 rating, 16th pctl) and post execution (2 rating, 19th pctl).
45
Impact
54
Future
3.5
CA
2.5
PA
20
Age
$4.0M
3.567
Bal WV
Skill Badges
(1)
O
Sniper
(B)
NBA Comparison
Budget Andrew Wiggins
2024-25
88%
Style
88%
Level
6'7" · 197lbs
15.0/5.0/2.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Keegan Murray
2024-25 · 78%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge:
15.6
Stage:
Developing
Peak Age:
29
(6yr away)
Future Value:
54
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Ball Dominance 16 (coef=0.0152)
Spacing 12 (coef=0.0196)
Weaknesses
Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)
Playmaking 4 (coef=0.0101)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0094)
Basketball IQ 12 (coef=0.0078)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)
Expected vs Actual Production
| Stat | Actual | Expected | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPG | 5.5 | 6.4 | -0.9 |
| RPG | 2.1 | 3.5 | -1.4 |
| APG | 0.7 | 0.1 | +0.6 |
| SPG | 0.6 | 0.5 | +0.1 |
| BPG | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.3 |
| TPG | - | 0.7 | |
| FG% | 0.402 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| 3P% | 0.261 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| FT% | 0.857 | 0.4 | +0.4 |
Play Style
Driving Frequency
79:21%
Positional Fit
Guard
70%
Wing
80%
Big
70%
Player Impact Breakdown
Average score driven by modest On-Court Impact. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.
45
/ 100
#312 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight
-0.70z
On-Court Impact -1.70 (Off -1.30, Def -0.38)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.01z
Win Model Score: 3.5513
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
44
#324
Defense
49
#247
Confidence
82%
994 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI:
-1.06
Actual:
-3.8
-2.74
Significantly underperforming SF model predictions
Future Value
Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.
54
/ 100
#190 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight
54
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight
53
Contract Surplus — 30% weight
54
Future Value above current Impact (45) — trajectory is positive
League Percentile Profile
PPG
12
TS%
4
BPM
8
WS/48
5
RAPM
37
USG%
61
PA/100
8
BCI
10
Shot Quality
PA/100
-13.14
Points Added
-54.0
Selection
0.990
FGA
411
Zone Breakdown
Rim
55.8%
147 FGA (36%)
Above Break Three
25.6%
168 FGA (41%)
Short Midrange
28.1%
64 FGA (16%)
Long Midrange
38.7%
31 FGA (8%)
Other
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)
Creation & Scoring Load
Box Creation
3.39
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-7.6%
USG%
20.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$4.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.427
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $4,000,000 | Austin Rockets exercised option |
Win Model Development
Win Model Score
3.551
Expected WM
3.127
Dev Residual
+0.4247
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.049
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive
Win Value Development
Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.6
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
12.6
Confidence
LOW
Win Value Trajectory
Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)
Current WV
2.757
Projected Peak WV
3.420
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.663
Rating Trainability
| Rating | Current | Growth/yr | Class | Peak Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foul Drawing | 15 | +1.23 | High Growth | 31 |
| Help Defense | 15 | +0.66 | High Growth | 27 |
| Off-Ball Defense | 16 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Ball Dominance | 16 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Gravity | 10 | +0.52 | High Growth | 29 |
| Spacing | 12 | +0.45 | High Growth | 18 |
| Post Execution | 2 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Playmaking | 4 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Stealing | 12 | +0.38 | High Growth | 19 |
| Finishing | 15 | +0.37 | High Growth | 27 |
| Defensive Rebounding | 18 | +0.37 | High Growth | 18 |
| Offensive Rebounding | 10 | +0.36 | High Growth | 18 |
| Strength | 14 | +0.35 | High Growth | 18 |
| Pick & Roll Execution | 8 | +0.34 | High Growth | 18 |
| Passing | 10 | +0.33 | High Growth | 18 |
| Self-Creation | 14 | +0.32 | High Growth | 19 |
| Isolation Execution | 14 | +0.32 | High Growth | 18 |
| 3PT Shooting | 16 | +0.31 | High Growth | 19 |
| Ball Handling | 12 | +0.30 | High Growth | 19 |
| On-Ball Perimeter Defense | 16 | +0.30 | High Growth | 18 |
| Shoot Off Dribble | 13 | +0.28 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Rim Protection | 10 | +0.26 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Inside Shooting | 16 | +0.25 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Post Defense | 9 | +0.17 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Basketball IQ | 12 | +0.07 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Endurance | 14 | +0.05 | Low Growth | 20 |
| Speed | 11 | +0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Free Throws | 17 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| First Step | 11 | -0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Mid-Range Shooting | 12 | -0.03 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Quickness | 13 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Athleticism | 11 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |