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Jose Aguirre

Jose Aguirre

PG

Portland Lumberjacks · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Yacimiento Río Turbio, Argentina

Polished pass-first guard

A rotation point guard averaging 3.9 PPG, 0.9 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl) and playmaking (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by ball dominance (5 rating, 0th pctl) and defensive rebounding (5 rating, 10th pctl).

47
Impact
51
Future
3.5
CA
3.0
PA
23
Age
$4.5M
Salary
3.103
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)
O Iso Scorer (S) O Gravity Generator (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Sniper (B) O Floor General (B) D Clamps (B) D Help Defender (B)
Malik Monk
NBA Comparison
Budget Malik Monk
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'3" · 200lbs
15.0/3.0/4.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Lockdown defender Ball handler
Alt comp
Donte DiVincenzo
2023-24 · 70%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.6
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)
Future Value: 51
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 3.9 18
RPG 0.9 10
APG 1.2 38
SPG 0.5 41
BPG - 15
MPG 8.6 15
Shooting
FG% 0.408 16
3P% 0.349 49
FT% 0.929 96
TS% 0.525 17
Impact
Impact 47 40
Off Impact 51 57
Def Impact 47 39
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.0 46
WS 0.9 26
Box Score Impact - 49
Value Over Replacement 0.2 40
Positional BSI -0.03

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 17 (coef=0.0196)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 17 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 16 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 4 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0160)
First Step 8 (coef=0.0112)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 3.9 0.5 +3.4
RPG 0.9 -1.0 +1.9
APG 1.2 2.2 -1.1
SPG 0.5 0.6 -0.1
BPG 0.0 -0.2 +0.2
TPG - 0.0
FG% 0.408 0.4 -0.0
3P% 0.349 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.929 0.5 +0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency
76:24%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 446 min — score regressed toward league average.

47 / 100 #273 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.26z
On-Court Impact +0.69 (Off +0.54, Def +0.14)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.19z
Win Model Score: 3.0917
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
51
#209
Defense
47
#290
Confidence
46%
446 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.03

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

51 / 100 #257 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 46
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 45
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 62
Future Value in line with current Impact (47)

Shot Quality

PA/100
-3.44
Points Added
-6.5
Selection
0.965
FGA
188
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
33.3%
24 FGA (13%)
Above Break Three
34.9%
83 FGA (44%)
Long Midrange
57.1%
14 FGA (7%)
Rim
41.8%
67 FGA (36%)
Tendencies
Salary
$4.5M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.377

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,500,000 Re-signed with Portland Lumberjacks
2051-52 $4,500,000
Total Owed $9,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.092
Expected WM
3.163
Dev Residual
-0.0712
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.544
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
T
Tyrique Beaudean Denver Dragons 24 3.5 98.3% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
R
Rocket Moor Phoenix Vultures 22 3.0 98.3% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
F
Flynn Barker Las Vegas Scorpions 21 3.5 98.2% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
G
Gerrit Torbert Mexico City Jaguars 24 3.0 98.1% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D
Dahmir Poland Philadelphia Warriors 0 3.0 98.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.6
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
11.8
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.269
Projected Peak WV
2.610
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.341

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 10 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 19 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 5 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 16 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 17 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 7 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 19 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 16 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 5 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 8 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 10 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 12 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 18 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 17 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 11 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 2 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 16 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 4 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 10 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 11 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 14 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 15 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 8 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 9 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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