Flynn Barker
SGLas Vegas Scorpions · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
Goulburn, Australia
Skilled 3-and-d guard
A rotation shooting guard averaging 5.6 PPG, 1.2 RPG, 2.5 APG. Excels in perimeter defense (20 rating, 100th pctl), floor spacing (19 rating, 99th pctl) and self-creation (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by rim protection (1 rating, 7th pctl) and post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl).
49
Impact
50
Future
3.5
CA
1.5
PA
21
Age
$1.8M
3.269
Bal WV
Skill Badges
(7)
O
Sniper
(S)
O
Catch & Shoot
(S)
O
Ankle Breaker
(B)
O
Pop Threat
(B)
O
Floater Game
(B)
D
Clamps
(B)
D
Help Defender
(B)
NBA Comparison
Budget Malik Monk
2024-25
78%
Style
78%
Level
6'3" · 200lbs
15.0/3.0/4.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist
Ball handler
Alt comp
Immanuel Quickley
2024-25 · 72%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge:
13.9
Stage:
Developing
Peak Age:
29
(9yr away)
Future Value:
50
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 20 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 19 (coef=0.0196)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Stealing 15 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0160)
Ball Dominance 10 (coef=0.0152)
Expected vs Actual Production
| Stat | Actual | Expected | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPG | 5.6 | 6.1 | -0.5 |
| RPG | 1.2 | 0.4 | +0.8 |
| APG | 2.5 | 2.5 | +0.0 |
| SPG | 0.6 | 0.7 | -0.1 |
| BPG | 0.0 | -0.2 | +0.2 |
| TPG | - | 0.6 | |
| FG% | 0.449 | 0.5 | -0.0 |
| 3P% | 0.333 | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| FT% | 0.759 | 0.5 | +0.3 |
Play Style
Driving Frequency
79:21%
Positional Fit
Guard
80%
Wing
80%
Big
40%
Player Impact Breakdown
Average score driven by modest Win Model Score. Offense is the primary value driver.
49
/ 100
#241 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight
+0.08z
On-Court Impact +0.24 (Off +0.59, Def -0.34)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-0.28z
Win Model Score: 3.2552
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
55
#151
Defense
42
#358
Confidence
85%
1081 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI:
0.20
Actual:
0.4
+0.20
Performing in line with PG model predictions
Future Value
Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.
50
/ 100
#266 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight
48
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight
47
Contract Surplus — 30% weight
54
Future Value in line with current Impact (49)
League Percentile Profile
PPG
14
TS%
31
BPM
52
WS/48
51
RAPM
58
USG%
46
PA/100
50
BCI
80
Shot Quality
PA/100
-0.62
Points Added
-2.8
Selection
1.037
FGA
450
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
32.8%
232 FGA (52%)
Short Midrange
50.9%
57 FGA (13%)
Long Midrange
35.7%
28 FGA (6%)
Rim
59.4%
133 FGA (30%)
Creation & Scoring Load
Box Creation
16.02
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-1.9%
USG%
18.7%
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.406
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $1,750,000 | Signed contract via Free Agency with Las Vegas Scorpions |
Win Model Development
Win Model Score
3.255
Expected WM
3.085
Dev Residual
+0.1705
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.610
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-2.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive
Win Value Development
Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.9
Years to Peak
9
Current Win Value
12.0
Confidence
MEDIUM
Win Value Trajectory
Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)
Current WV
2.433
Projected Peak WV
2.829
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
8
WV Growth
+0.397
Rating Trainability
| Rating | Current | Growth/yr | Class | Peak Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foul Drawing | 14 | +1.23 | High Growth | 31 |
| Help Defense | 17 | +0.66 | High Growth | 27 |
| Off-Ball Defense | 10 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Ball Dominance | 10 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Gravity | 10 | +0.52 | High Growth | 29 |
| Spacing | 19 | +0.45 | High Growth | 18 |
| Post Execution | 3 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Playmaking | 14 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Stealing | 15 | +0.38 | High Growth | 19 |
| Finishing | 16 | +0.37 | High Growth | 27 |
| Defensive Rebounding | 9 | +0.37 | High Growth | 18 |
| Offensive Rebounding | 8 | +0.36 | High Growth | 18 |
| Strength | 7 | +0.35 | High Growth | 18 |
| Pick & Roll Execution | 15 | +0.34 | High Growth | 18 |
| Passing | 14 | +0.33 | High Growth | 18 |
| Self-Creation | 19 | +0.32 | High Growth | 19 |
| Isolation Execution | 9 | +0.32 | High Growth | 18 |
| 3PT Shooting | 18 | +0.31 | High Growth | 19 |
| Ball Handling | 17 | +0.30 | High Growth | 19 |
| On-Ball Perimeter Defense | 20 | +0.30 | High Growth | 18 |
| Shoot Off Dribble | 12 | +0.28 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Rim Protection | 1 | +0.26 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Inside Shooting | 17 | +0.25 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Post Defense | 2 | +0.17 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Basketball IQ | 13 | +0.07 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Endurance | 8 | +0.05 | Low Growth | 20 |
| Speed | 13 | +0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Free Throws | 14 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| First Step | 11 | -0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Mid-Range Shooting | 14 | -0.03 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Quickness | 13 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Athleticism | 11 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |