Kaan Korkmaz

Kaan Korkmaz

SG

Nashville Stars · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Kahramanmaraş, Turkey

Flashy 3-and-d wing

A fringe shooting guard averaging 14.7 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 2.5 APG. Excels in quickness (16 rating, 87th pctl), pick-and-roll execution (17 rating, 85th pctl) and isolation scoring (17 rating, 82nd pctl). Limited by interior scoring (13 rating, 7th pctl) and defensive rebounding (6 rating, 16th pctl).

21
Impact
48
Future
3.5
CA
4.0
PA
22
Age
$4.6M
Salary
2.987
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(6)
O Lob Threat (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Slasher (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) D Help Defender (B)
Coby White
NBA Comparison
Coby White
2024-25
80%
Style
80%
Level
6'5" · 195lbs
20.4/3.7/4.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Cam Thomas
2024-25 · 80%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.8
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (8yr away)
Future Value: 48
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 14.7 77
RPG 2.1 33
APG 2.5 62
SPG 1.2 72
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 26.7 63
Shooting
FG% 0.438 32
3P% 0.321 35
FT% 0.791 40
TS% 0.54 24
Impact
Impact 21 1
Off Impact 26 2
Def Impact 38 12
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 13.0 35
WS -1.3 1
Box Score Impact -5.7 3
Value Over Replacement -1.6 2
Positional BSI -0.99 -4.71

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
First Step 15 (coef=0.0112)
Foul Drawing 16 (coef=0.0102)
Athleticism 15 (coef=-0.0094)
Ball Handling 15 (coef=-0.0080)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 13 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 10 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 14.7 13.4 +1.3
RPG 2.1 3.0 -0.8
APG 2.5 3.4 -0.9
SPG 1.2 1.0 +0.2
BPG 0.1 0.6 -0.5
TPG - 1.4
FG% 0.438 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.321 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.791 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
69:31%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Replacement-level score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict. Defense is the primary value driver.

21 / 100 #430 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.47z
On-Court Impact -3.59 (Off -2.91, Def -0.68)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.51z
Win Model Score: 2.9752
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
26
#426
Defense
38
#393
Confidence
97%
1711 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.99 Actual: -5.7 -4.71
Significantly underperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

48 / 100 #309 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 44
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 43
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 59
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (21) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
70
TS%
19
BPM
2
WS/48
0
RAPM
6
USG%
92
PA/100
21
BCI
40

Shot Quality

PA/100
-6.69
Points Added
-57.2
Selection
0.961
FGA
855
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
32.9%
158 FGA (18%)
Above Break Three
32.0%
275 FGA (32%)
Rim
49.2%
313 FGA (37%)
Long Midrange
40.7%
108 FGA (13%)
Other
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
7.01
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-3.8%
USG%
27.6%
Tendencies
Salary
$4.6M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.223

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,600,000
2051-52 $4,600,000
Total Owed $9,200,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.975
Expected WM
3.340
Dev Residual
-0.3643
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.539
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
S
Solomone Bran Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 97.4% Stationary Shooter / Chaser
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 97.3% Slasher / Wing Stopper
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 97.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 97.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Tawaski Casuga Detroit Mustangs 26 4.0 97.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.8
Years to Peak
8
Current Win Value
11.4
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.217
Projected Peak WV
2.678
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
7
WV Growth
+0.460

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 15 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 10 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 14 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 10 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 13 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 13 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 6 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 6 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 6 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 14 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 14 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 15 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 5 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 5 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 13 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 10 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 15 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 7 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 15 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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