Kade Underwood

Phoenix Vultures · Shot Creator / Wing Stopper

College: La Salle · Emery, South Dakota

Skilled scoring forward

A fringe defensive shooting guard averaging 15.1 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 1.5 APG. Excels in stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl), gravity (19 rating, 99th pctl) and finishing (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (5 rating, 10th pctl) and post execution (2 rating, 19th pctl).

Impact

Future

4.0

3.5

Age

$5.5M

Salary

3.599

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(10)

O Slasher (S) O Posterizer (B) O Floater Game (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) D Interceptor (B) D Paint Wall (B) D Rim Eraser (B)

NBA Comparison

Budget Kevin Durant

2024-25

79%

Style

79%

Level

6'11" · 240lbs

26.6/6.0/4.2 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Efficient scorer

Alt comp

Anthony Edwards

2024-25 · 67%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 16.3

Stage: Developing

Peak Age: 29 (8yr away)

Future Value: 60

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	15.1	78
RPG	3.2	48
APG	1.5	45
SPG	1.1	68
BPG	1.0	73
MPG	25.4	60
Shooting
FG%	0.497	68
3P%	0.342	44
FT%	0.853	65
TS%	0.605	75
Impact
Impact	38	14
Off Impact	27	3
Def Impact	65	89
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	17.2	79
WS	4.6	73
Box Score Impact	0.1	51
Value Over Replacement	1.1	65
Positional BSI	0.05	+0.05

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Post Defense 18 (coef=0.0333)

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)

Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0168)

Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)

Stealing 19 (coef=0.0145)

Weaknesses

Defensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0226)

3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0196)

Spacing 6 (coef=0.0196)

Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)

Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	15.1	11.6	+3.5
RPG	3.2	4.1	-0.9
APG	1.5	2.3	-0.8
SPG	1.1	1.2	-0.1
BPG	1.0	1.4	-0.4
TPG	-	1.2
FG%	0.497	0.5	+0.0
3P%	0.342	0.3	+0.1
FT%	0.853	0.5	+0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency

81:19%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%

Wing 80%

Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by modest On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

38 / 100 #382 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.61z

On-Court Impact -1.46 (Off -2.62, Def +1.16)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.15z

Win Model Score: 3.5861

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#425

Defense

#57

Confidence

99%

2085 min

Position Model (PF)

Predicted Positional BSI: 0.05 Actual: 0.1 +0.05

Performing in line with PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

60 / 100 #102 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 62

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 61

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 55

Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (38) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

-2.70

Points Added

-27.5

Selection

0.984

FGA

1019

Zone Breakdown

Rim

49.1%

499 FGA (49%)

Above Break Three

34.2%

269 FGA (26%)

Short Midrange

39.7%

204 FGA (20%)

Long Midrange

45.2%

42 FGA (4%)

Other

100.0%

5 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

6.56

Load Tier

Good

Eff Delta

+2.8%

USG%

24.5%

Tendencies

Salary

$5.5M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.395

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$5,500,000	Phoenix Vultures exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.586

Expected WM

3.247

Dev Residual

+0.3392

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

4.149

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-0.5

Dev Status

Ahead of Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
K	Kinard Otero	Nashville Stars	20	3.5	95.5%	Slasher / Wing Stopper
L	Lenzelle Ndefo	Philadelphia Warriors	24	3.5	94.8%	Slasher / Wing Stopper
V	Viktor Morozov	Cleveland Giants	0	3.0	94.1%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
D	Damjan Nemanič	Los Angeles Fireballs	30	4.5	94.0%	Post Bully / Mobile Big
A	Antoine Thuram	Oakland Tritons	0	2.0	93.9%	Glue Guy / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

16.3

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

13.4

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.708

Projected Peak WV

3.283

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.576

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	17	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	15	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	16	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	9	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	19	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	6	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	2	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	10	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	19	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	19	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	5	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	13	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	13	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	11	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	18	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	16	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	18	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	9	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	17	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	16	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	10	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	17	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	17	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	18	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	14	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	12	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	9	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	15	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	15	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	11	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	10	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	17	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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