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Keon Wallace

Keon Wallace

PG

Phoenix Vultures · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: Indiana · Brooklyn, New York

Lockdown guard

A fringe point guard averaging 3.9 PPG, 1.1 RPG, 2.2 APG. Excels in quickness (17 rating, 95th pctl), pick-and-roll execution (18 rating, 93rd pctl) and ball handling (18 rating, 88th pctl). Limited by offensive rebounding (2 rating, 2nd pctl) and basketball IQ (9 rating, 7th pctl).

35
Impact
43
Future
3.0
CA
4.5
PA
22
Age
$1.8M
Salary
2.761
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(5)
O Ankle Breaker (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Slasher (B) O Pop Threat (B)
Ayo Dosunmu
NBA Comparison
Ayo Dosunmu
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'5" · 200lbs
9.0/3.0/4.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Lockdown defender Ball handler
Alt comp
Marcus Smart
2022-23 · 75%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.3
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (8yr away)
Future Value: 43
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 3.9 18
RPG 1.1 14
APG 2.2 58
SPG 0.9 60
BPG - 15
MPG 15.2 30
Shooting
FG% 0.44 33
3P% 0.371 60
FT% 0.773 33
TS% 0.517 14
Impact
Impact 35 11
Off Impact 40 17
Def Impact 40 16
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 10.2 17
WS 1.4 32
Box Score Impact -2.5 20
Value Over Replacement -0.1 21
Positional BSI -2.30 -0.20

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 (coef=0.0330)
Passing 17 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Spacing 12 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 15 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 12 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 4 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 2 (coef=0.0160)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 3.9 6.3 -2.5
RPG 1.1 0.4 +0.7
APG 2.2 2.9 -0.7
SPG 0.9 0.8 +0.1
BPG 0.0 0.1 -0.1
TPG - 0.8
FG% 0.44 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.371 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.773 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
25:75%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 40%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak Win Model Score.

35 / 100 #392 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.71z
On-Court Impact -1.72 (Off -2.14, Def +0.42)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.47z
Win Model Score: 2.7462
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
40
#370
Defense
40
#373
Confidence
86%
1106 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -2.30 Actual: -2.5 -0.20
Performing in line with PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

43 / 100 #391 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 39
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 41
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 50
Future Value above current Impact (35) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
3
TS%
8
BPM
18
WS/48
21
RAPM
33
USG%
8
PA/100
42
BCI
71

Shot Quality

PA/100
-2.02
Points Added
-5.5
Selection
0.951
FGA
273
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
37.1%
70 FGA (26%)
Rim
47.3%
129 FGA (47%)
Short Midrange
33.8%
65 FGA (24%)
Long Midrange
55.6%
9 FGA (3%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
12.79
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-5.7%
USG%
12.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.370

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.746
Expected WM
3.278
Dev Residual
-0.5321
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.480
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
L
Lincoln Rutherford St Louis Skyhawks 30 4.5 98.8% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
J
Jerron Cooper Jr San Diego Calaveras 0 3.5 98.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
P
Parker Brighton New York Renegades 0 3.0 98.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
D
Devante Parker Jr Austin Rockets 29 4.5 98.5% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
J
Jameer Morrow Philadelphia Warriors 20 3.0 98.3% Secondary Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.3
Years to Peak
8
Current Win Value
10.9
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.063
Projected Peak WV
2.522
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
7
WV Growth
+0.459

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 12 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 9 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 14 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 15 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 7 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 2 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 3 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 18 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 14 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 12 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 18 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 5 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 4 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 2 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 9 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 11 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 14 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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