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Kyler Amundson

Kyler Amundson

SG

New Orleans Hurricanes · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Kentucky · Torrance, California

Rangy 3-and-d wing

A solid shooting guard averaging 10.7 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 3.1 APG. Excels in help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), basketball IQ (19 rating, 95th pctl) and first step (17 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (7 rating, 20th pctl) and isolation scoring (9 rating, 23rd pctl).

55
Impact
63
Future
4.5
CA
2.5
PA
25
Age
$1.8M
Salary
3.953
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(14)
O Floater Game (S) O Slasher (B) O Posterizer (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Sniper (B) O Shot Creator (B) D Help Defender (S) D Paint Wall (B) D Clamps (B) D Versatile Defender (B) D Rim Eraser (B) D Charge Taker (B) D Pick Dodger (B) D Chasedown Artist (B)
Mikal Bridges
NBA Comparison
Mikal Bridges
2024-25
75%
Style
75%
Level
6'6" · 209lbs
15.0/4.0/3.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist
Alt comp
Donte DiVincenzo
2023-24 · 71%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.6
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 63
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 10.7 61
RPG 2.6 39
APG 3.1 69
SPG 1.4 80
BPG 1.0 73
MPG 26.3 62
Shooting
FG% 0.388 11
3P% 0.36 55
FT% 0.882 80
TS% 0.529 18
Impact
Impact 55 69
Off Impact 52 59
Def Impact 56 74
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 12.8 33
WS 2.4 45
Box Score Impact -0.4 43
Value Over Replacement 0.9 60
Positional BSI -0.10 -0.30

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)
Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0333)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0226)
Spacing 9 (coef=0.0196)
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)
Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)
Foul Drawing 11 (coef=0.0102)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 10.7 14.3 -3.6
RPG 2.6 3.5 -0.9
APG 3.1 2.4 +0.7
SPG 1.4 1.1 +0.3
BPG 1.0 1.2 -0.2
TPG - 1.5
FG% 0.388 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.36 0.4 -0.0
FT% 0.882 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
19:81%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by solid Win Model Score.

55 / 100 #150 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.05z
On-Court Impact -0.07 (Off -0.27, Def +0.20)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.70z
Win Model Score: 3.9349
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
52
#187
Defense
56
#122
Confidence
99%
2100 min
Position Model (SF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.10 Actual: -0.4 -0.30
Performing in line with SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

63 / 100 #65 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 65
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 64
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 61
Future Value above current Impact (55) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
50
TS%
13
BPM
41
WS/48
17
RAPM
45
USG%
43
PA/100
23

Shot Quality

PA/100
-6.21
Points Added
-49.2
Selection
1.015
FGA
792
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
35.7%
470 FGA (59%)
Long Midrange
32.9%
73 FGA (9%)
Rim
45.7%
138 FGA (17%)
Short Midrange
35.1%
111 FGA (14%)
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.498

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with New Orleans Hurricanes

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.935
Expected WM
3.321
Dev Residual
+0.6138
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.238
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-2.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Damjan Nemanič Los Angeles Fireballs 30 4.5 97.2% Post Bully / Mobile Big
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 96.5% Slasher / Wing Stopper
K
Kinard Otero Nashville Stars 20 3.5 96.4% Slasher / Wing Stopper
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 95.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 95.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.6
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
13.7
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.869
Projected Peak WV
3.048
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
4
WV Growth
+0.179

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 11 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 19 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 13 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 9 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 7 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 16 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 7 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 9 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 18 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 12 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 10 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 9 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 18 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 9 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 14 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 15 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 16 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 8 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 17 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 18 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 17 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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