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Mario Moore

Mario Moore

SG

Baltimore Bullets · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Kentucky · Montgomery, Alabama

Dazzling shoot-and-defend guard

An elite two-way shooting guard averaging 11.2 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 5.6 APG. Excels in isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl), free throws (19 rating, 99th pctl) and pick-and-roll execution (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl) and offensive rebounding (7 rating, 24th pctl).

67
Impact
63
Future
4.5
CA
3.5
PA
30
Age
$5.0M
Salary
3.638
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(18)
O Gravity Generator (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Lob Threat (S) O Posterizer (S) O Floor General (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Sniper (S) O PnR Maestro (S) O Pull-Up Threat (S) O Slasher (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Floater Game (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) D Clamps (S) D Interceptor (B) D Pick Dodger (B)
Immanuel Quickley
NBA Comparison
Immanuel Quickley
2024-25
77%
Style
77%
Level
6'3" · 190lbs
15.5/4.5/6.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Ball handler
Alt comp
Jrue Holiday
2024-25 · 76%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.8
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 30 (past peak)
Future Value: 63
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 11.2 63
RPG 4.0 61
APG 5.6 90
SPG 1.5 84
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 28.2 67
Shooting
FG% 0.493 66
3P% 0.413 81
FT% 0.908 90
TS% 0.627 86
Impact
Impact 67 91
Off Impact 68 94
Def Impact 57 76
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 16.4 70
WS 7.9 93
Box Score Impact 3.4 87
Value Over Replacement 3.2 91
Positional BSI 1.33 +2.07

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
Rim Protection 4 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0160)
Basketball IQ 12 (coef=0.0078)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 11.2 16.5 -5.3
RPG 4.0 4.5 -0.5
APG 5.6 4.9 +0.7
SPG 1.5 1.3 +0.2
BPG 0.1 0.4 -0.3
TPG - 1.7
FG% 0.493 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.413 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.908 0.5 +0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency
78:22%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact.

67 / 100 #44 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.30z
On-Court Impact +3.24 (Off +1.74, Def +1.51)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.66z
Win Model Score: 3.6221
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
68
#28
Defense
57
#113
Confidence
100%
2313 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.33 Actual: 3.4 +2.07
Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

63 / 100 #57 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 65
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 65
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 57
Future Value in line with current Impact (67)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
53
TS%
90
BPM
86
WS/48
91
RAPM
88
USG%
27
PA/100
73
BCI
85

Shot Quality

PA/100
+4.59
Points Added
+36.1
Selection
0.995
FGA
787
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
41.1%
316 FGA (40%)
Short Midrange
41.9%
136 FGA (17%)
Long Midrange
43.2%
74 FGA (9%)
Rim
48.1%
260 FGA (33%)
Other
100.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
18.06
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+5.2%
USG%
15.9%
Tendencies
Salary
$5.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.583

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $5,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.622
Expected WM
3.671
Dev Residual
-0.0492
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.761
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.9% Secondary Creator / Chaser
C
Chavis Weddle Salt Lake City Saints 26 4.0 97.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 97.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 97.4% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Dimitris Karras Charlotte Drones 20 4.0 97.4% Glue Guy / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Value
13.8
Years to Peak
0
Current Win Value
13.8
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.580
Projected Peak WV
2.580
Peak Age
30
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 17 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 13 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 13 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 19 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 16 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 7 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 18 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 19 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 19 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 18 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 17 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 4 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 2 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 12 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 15 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 19 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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