Pedro Santos
SGDenver Dragons · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
Capitão Poço, Brazil
Savvy paint-anchoring forward
A star-level defensive shooting guard averaging 16.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.5 APG. Excels in work ethic (17 rating, 100th pctl), isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl) and post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by foul drawing (9 rating, 12th pctl) and aggression (9 rating, 14th pctl).
64
Impact
65
Future
5.0
CA
4.5
PA
22
Age
$25.0M
4.279
Bal WV
Skill Badges
(14)
O
Iso Scorer
(B)
O
Sniper
(B)
O
Lob Threat
(B)
O
Catch & Shoot
(B)
O
Floater Game
(B)
O
Posterizer
(B)
D
Paint Wall
(S)
D
Rim Eraser
(S)
D
Clamps
(B)
D
Versatile Defender
(B)
D
Help Defender
(B)
D
Pick Dodger
(B)
D
Chasedown Artist
(B)
D
Charge Taker
(B)
NBA Comparison
Franz Wagner
2024-25
80%
Style
80%
Level
6'10" · 220lbs
24.2/5.7/4.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Jayson Tatum
2024-25 · 75%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge:
16.5
Stage:
Developing
Peak Age:
29
(7yr away)
Future Value:
65
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Post Defense 19 (coef=0.0333)
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 18 (coef=0.0196)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 10 (coef=0.0226)
Foul Drawing 9 (coef=0.0102)
Playmaking 4 (coef=0.0101)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)
Mid-Range Shooting 9 (coef=0.0069)
Expected vs Actual Production
| Stat | Actual | Expected | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPG | 16.7 | 17.0 | -0.3 |
| RPG | 5.1 | 5.5 | -0.4 |
| APG | 3.5 | 2.3 | +1.2 |
| SPG | 1.3 | 1.2 | +0.1 |
| BPG | 1.3 | 1.6 | -0.3 |
| TPG | - | 1.7 | |
| FG% | 0.453 | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| 3P% | 0.355 | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| FT% | 0.67 | 0.4 | +0.2 |
Play Style
Driving Frequency
72:28%
Denver Gap Fit
Positional Fit
Guard
80%
Wing
90%
Big
90%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by strong Win Model Score. Defense is the primary value driver.
64
/ 100
#57 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight
+0.91z
On-Court Impact +2.28 (Off -0.28, Def +2.56)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+1.21z
Win Model Score: 4.2616
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
49
#242
Defense
81
#8
Confidence
100%
2437 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI:
1.63
Actual:
1.2
-0.43
Performing in line with PF model predictions
Future Value
Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.
65
/ 100
#46 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight
76
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight
75
Contract Surplus — 30% weight
39
Future Value in line with current Impact (64)
League Percentile Profile
PPG
83
TS%
19
BPM
61
WS/48
14
RAPM
78
USG%
89
PA/100
47
BCI
52
Shot Quality
PA/100
-1.22
Points Added
-15.4
Selection
1.004
FGA
1257
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
35.5%
476 FGA (38%)
Short Midrange
33.3%
174 FGA (14%)
Rim
51.2%
494 FGA (39%)
Long Midrange
52.7%
112 FGA (9%)
Other
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)
Creation & Scoring Load
Box Creation
9.34
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-4.0%
USG%
25.9%
Tendencies
Salary
$25.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2049
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.575
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
Win Model Score
4.262
Expected WM
3.384
Dev Residual
+0.8772
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.873
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive
Win Value Development
Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
16.5
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
14.8
Confidence
HIGH
Win Value Trajectory
Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)
Current WV
3.421
Projected Peak WV
3.794
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
7
WV Growth
+0.373
Rating Trainability
| Rating | Current | Growth/yr | Class | Peak Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foul Drawing | 9 | +1.23 | High Growth | 31 |
| Help Defense | 17 | +0.66 | High Growth | 27 |
| Off-Ball Defense | 8 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Ball Dominance | 17 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Gravity | 11 | +0.52 | High Growth | 29 |
| Spacing | 18 | +0.45 | High Growth | 18 |
| Post Execution | 2 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Playmaking | 4 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Stealing | 15 | +0.38 | High Growth | 19 |
| Finishing | 15 | +0.37 | High Growth | 27 |
| Defensive Rebounding | 10 | +0.37 | High Growth | 18 |
| Offensive Rebounding | 11 | +0.36 | High Growth | 18 |
| Strength | 15 | +0.35 | High Growth | 18 |
| Pick & Roll Execution | 18 | +0.34 | High Growth | 18 |
| Passing | 16 | +0.33 | High Growth | 18 |
| Self-Creation | 15 | +0.32 | High Growth | 19 |
| Isolation Execution | 19 | +0.32 | High Growth | 18 |
| 3PT Shooting | 17 | +0.31 | High Growth | 19 |
| Ball Handling | 14 | +0.30 | High Growth | 19 |
| On-Ball Perimeter Defense | 19 | +0.30 | High Growth | 18 |
| Shoot Off Dribble | 14 | +0.28 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Rim Protection | 19 | +0.26 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Inside Shooting | 16 | +0.25 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Post Defense | 19 | +0.17 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Basketball IQ | 15 | +0.07 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Endurance | 15 | +0.05 | Low Growth | 20 |
| Speed | 13 | +0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Free Throws | 11 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| Work Ethic | 17 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| Leadership | 14 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| Discipline | 12 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| Professionalism | 10 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| Aggression | 9 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| Toughness | 14 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| Hustle | 16 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| First Step | 13 | -0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Mid-Range Shooting | 9 | -0.03 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Quickness | 13 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Athleticism | 15 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |