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Sylvain Garcia

Sylvain Garcia

SG

Seattle Thunder · Shot Creator / Wing Stopper


Heady well-rounded forward

An elite shooting guard averaging 7.7 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 3.3 APG. Excels in defensive rebounding (20 rating, 100th pctl), gravity (19 rating, 99th pctl) and interior scoring (19 rating, 97th pctl). Limited by endurance (5 rating, 7th pctl) and shoot off dribble (2 rating, 9th pctl).

72
Impact
70
Future
4.0
CA
3.0
PA
28
Age
$5.0M
Salary
3.900
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(9)
O Gravity Generator (S) O Floater Game (S) O PnR Maestro (B) O Floor General (B) O Slasher (B) D Paint Wall (S) D Interceptor (B) D Rim Eraser (B) D Help Defender (B)
Draymond Green
NBA Comparison
Draymond Green
2023-24
73%
Style
73%
Level
6'6" · 230lbs
8.6/5.8/6.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Alt comp
Aaron Gordon
2024-25 · 72%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.1
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 29 (1yr away)
Future Value: 70
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 7.7 44
RPG 4.5 66
APG 3.3 72
SPG 1.1 68
BPG 0.9 69
MPG 25.3 59
Shooting
FG% 0.44 33
3P% 0.377 64
FT% 0.793 40
TS% 0.559 39
Impact
Impact 72 95
Off Impact 51 57
Def Impact 92 100
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 12.4 29
WS 5.5 80
Box Score Impact 3.4 87
Value Over Replacement 2.8 88
Positional BSI 1.88 +1.52

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 18 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 20 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0168)
Weaknesses
Spacing 6 (coef=0.0196)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0160)
Shoot Off Dribble 2 (coef=0.0134)
Endurance 5 (coef=0.0098)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0094)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 7.7 12.6 -4.9
RPG 4.5 6.8 -2.2
APG 3.3 2.5 +0.8
SPG 1.1 1.0 +0.1
BPG 0.9 1.4 -0.5
TPG - 1.3
FG% 0.44 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.377 0.4 -0.0
FT% 0.793 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
76:24%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Star-level score driven by exceptional On-Court Impact. On-court impact exceeds what ratings alone would predict. Defense is the primary value driver.

72 / 100 #25 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.87z
On-Court Impact +4.66 (Off +0.56, Def +4.10)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.64z
Win Model Score: 3.8832
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
51
#209
Defense
92
#1
Confidence
99%
2046 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.88 Actual: 3.4 +1.52
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

70 / 100 #18 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 66
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 66
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 78
Future Value in line with current Impact (72)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
30
TS%
35
BPM
86
WS/48
74
RAPM
98
USG%
11
PA/100
42
BCI
65

Shot Quality

PA/100
-1.89
Points Added
-14.1
Selection
0.973
FGA
746
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
37.0%
303 FGA (41%)
Rim
48.5%
266 FGA (36%)
Short Midrange
28.9%
128 FGA (17%)
Long Midrange
44.7%
47 FGA (6%)
Other
50.0%
2 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
11.79
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-1.5%
USG%
13.4%
Tendencies
Salary
$5.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.608

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $5,000,000 Re-signed with Seattle Thunder
2051-52 $5,000,000
Total Owed $10,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.883
Expected WM
3.507
Dev Residual
+0.3762
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.094
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
A
Antoine Thuram Oakland Tritons 0 2.0 95.9% Glue Guy / Helper
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 93.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser
K
Kinard Otero Nashville Stars 20 3.5 92.5% Slasher / Wing Stopper
D
Damjan Nemanič Los Angeles Fireballs 30 4.5 92.2% Post Bully / Mobile Big
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 92.2% Slasher / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.1
Years to Peak
1
Current Win Value
13.9
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
3.211
Projected Peak WV
3.251
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
1
WV Growth
+0.039

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 14 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 18 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 19 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 6 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 12 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 18 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 20 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 7 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 7 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 10 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 17 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 16 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 15 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 2 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 17 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 18 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 17 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 5 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 10 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 15 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 12 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 5 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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