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T.J. Kyungu

T.J. Kyungu

SG

Oakland Tritons · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: UCLA · Montgeron, France

Cerebral shoot-and-defend wing

A star-level two-way shooting guard averaging 9.0 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 2.2 APG. Excels in basketball IQ (20 rating, 100th pctl), stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl) and free throws (19 rating, 99th pctl).

63
Impact
83
Future
5.0
CA
4.5
PA
25
Age
$10.0M
Salary
4.169
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(17)
O PnR Maestro (S) O Floater Game (S) O Floor General (S) O Gravity Generator (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Sniper (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) D Interceptor (S) D Chasedown Artist (B) D Help Defender (B) D Pick Dodger (B) D Clamps (B) D Charge Taker (B) D Versatile Defender (B)
Trey Murphy III
NBA Comparison
Budget Trey Murphy III
2024-25
81%
Style
81%
Level
6'9" · 206lbs
21.2/5.1/3.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist
Alt comp
Donte DiVincenzo
2023-24 · 77%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.9
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (5yr away)
Future Value: 83
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 9.0 53
RPG 2.4 36
APG 2.2 58
SPG 1.0 64
BPG 0.7 62
MPG 19.5 45
Shooting
FG% 0.425 23
3P% 0.363 56
FT% 0.958 100
TS% 0.567 44
Impact
Impact 63 87
Off Impact 61 85
Def Impact 58 78
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.7 53
WS 2.6 49
Box Score Impact 1.7 69
Value Over Replacement 1.3 69
Positional BSI 3.36 -1.66

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Spacing 15 (coef=0.0196)
Weaknesses
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)
Foul Drawing 13 (coef=0.0102)
Finishing 13 (coef=0.0023)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 9.0 9.7 -0.7
RPG 2.4 3.5 -1.1
APG 2.2 2.6 -0.5
SPG 1.0 1.0 -0.0
BPG 0.7 0.8 -0.1
TPG - 1.1
FG% 0.425 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.363 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.958 0.5 +0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency
22:78%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong Win Model Score. Ratings suggest higher ceiling than on-court impact reflects — team context may be masking individual value.

63 / 100 #67 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.33z
On-Court Impact +0.85 (Off +0.74, Def +0.07)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.48z
Win Model Score: 4.1509
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
61
#79
Defense
58
#105
Confidence
93%
1364 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 3.36 Actual: 1.7 -1.66
Significantly underperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

83 / 100 #1 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 78
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 77
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 94
Future Value significantly exceeds current Impact (63) — buy-low candidate with major upside

League Percentile Profile

PPG
41
TS%
41
BPM
65
WS/48
44
RAPM
47
USG%
58
PA/100
36
BCI
56

Shot Quality

PA/100
-3.25
Points Added
-17.8
Selection
1.014
FGA
548
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
36.3%
284 FGA (52%)
Short Midrange
37.0%
81 FGA (15%)
Rim
47.6%
166 FGA (30%)
Long Midrange
31.2%
16 FGA (3%)
Other
100.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
9.97
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
-0.9%
USG%
20.3%
Tendencies
Salary
$10.0M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.576

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $10,000,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Oakland Tritons
2051-52 $10,000,000
2052-53 $10,000,000
Total Owed $30,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
4.151
Expected WM
3.553
Dev Residual
+0.5980
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.594
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 98.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 97.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Davor Giffey Austin Rockets 23 3.0 97.0% Secondary Creator / Chaser
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 96.5% Slasher / Wing Stopper
W
Wen Dunmore Cincinnati Kings 0 3.0 96.2% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.9
Years to Peak
5
Current Win Value
15.0
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
3.185
Projected Peak WV
3.357
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
4
WV Growth
+0.172

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 16 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 15 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 6 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 9 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 11 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 18 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 16 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 18 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 14 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 10 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 13 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 13 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 20 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 9 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 19 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 19 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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