Terrance Brown

Terrance Brown

SG

New York Renegades · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Washington · Sharon, Pennsylvania

Polished 3-and-d guard

A rotation shooting guard averaging 11.3 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 6.4 APG. Excels in shoot off dribble (20 rating, 100th pctl), self-creation (20 rating, 100th pctl) and stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by endurance (6 rating, 11th pctl) and defensive rebounding (6 rating, 16th pctl).

48
Impact
59
Future
4.5
CA
3.5
PA
28
Age
$15.0M
Salary
3.703
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(14)
O Shot Creator (G) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Floor General (S) O Sniper (S) O Floater Game (S) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Slasher (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Lob Threat (B) D Interceptor (S) D Clamps (B)
Kyle Lowry
NBA Comparison
Kyle Lowry
2021-22
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'0" · 196lbs
13.4/4.5/7.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Immanuel Quickley
2024-25 · 75%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.9
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (2yr away)
Future Value: 59
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 11.3 64
RPG 3.1 47
APG 6.4 93
SPG 1.6 89
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 30.1 76
Shooting
FG% 0.429 26
3P% 0.41 80
FT% 0.808 46
TS% 0.566 44
Impact
Impact 48 45
Off Impact 63 89
Def Impact 28 4
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 15.6 62
WS 6.4 86
Box Score Impact 1.5 67
Value Over Replacement 2.2 81
Positional BSI 1.14 +0.36

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 16 (coef=0.0196)
Ball Dominance 19 (coef=0.0152)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 3 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 7 (coef=0.0168)
Endurance 6 (coef=0.0098)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 11.3 18.1 -6.8
RPG 3.1 3.4 -0.3
APG 6.4 5.3 +1.1
SPG 1.6 1.5 +0.1
BPG 0.2 0.6 -0.4
TPG - 2.0
FG% 0.429 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.41 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.808 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
24:76%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

48 / 100 #260 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.85z
On-Court Impact -2.05 (Off +0.32, Def -2.37)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.74z
Win Model Score: 3.6842
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
63
#60
Defense
28
#423
Confidence
100%
2466 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.14 Actual: 1.5 +0.36
Performing in line with PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

59 / 100 #111 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 65
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 64
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 46
Future Value above current Impact (48) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
54
TS%
41
BPM
63
WS/48
70
RAPM
21
USG%
31
PA/100
50
BCI
87

Shot Quality

PA/100
-0.64
Points Added
-5.1
Selection
0.984
FGA
809
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
40.8%
375 FGA (46%)
Short Midrange
34.7%
167 FGA (21%)
Rim
39.7%
224 FGA (28%)
Long Midrange
44.2%
43 FGA (5%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
19.02
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
-0.9%
USG%
16.5%
Tendencies
Salary
$15.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Player Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.405

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $15,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.684
Expected WM
3.578
Dev Residual
+0.1062
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.916
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
A
Anthony Beamer Miami Cyclones 24 4.0 97.4% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 97.1% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
A
Aidan Clark Las Vegas Scorpions 29 5.0 97.0% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 96.8% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
I
Isaiah Harris Kansas City Knights 23 3.5 96.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.9
Years to Peak
2
Current Win Value
13.7
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.733
Projected Peak WV
2.772
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
1
WV Growth
+0.039

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 10 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 19 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 16 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 2 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 18 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 19 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 6 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 17 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 16 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 20 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 18 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 20 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 7 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 3 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 6 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 15 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 11 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 11 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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