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Bakari Humphrey

Bakari Humphrey

SG

Miami Cyclones · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: UConn · Manchester, Connecticut

Inventive 3-and-d wing

A solid shooting guard averaging 10.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 5.5 APG. Excels in shoot off dribble (19 rating, 100th pctl), free throws (19 rating, 99th pctl) and quickness (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by foul drawing (9 rating, 12th pctl) and offensive rebounding (5 rating, 15th pctl).

55
Impact
67
Future
5.0
CA
4.0
PA
30
Age
$23.5M
Salary
4.120
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(16)
O Ankle Breaker (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Shot Creator (S) O Speed Demon (S) O Slasher (S) O Sniper (S) O Floor General (S) O Floater Game (S) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Gravity Generator (B) D Pick Dodger (S) D Help Defender (S) D Interceptor (B) D Clamps (B) D Versatile Defender (B)
Immanuel Quickley
NBA Comparison
Immanuel Quickley
2024-25
81%
Style
81%
Level
6'3" · 190lbs
15.5/4.5/6.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Kyle Lowry
2021-22 · 79%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.1
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 30 (past peak)
Future Value: 67
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 10.8 61
RPG 3.4 52
APG 5.5 90
SPG 1.4 80
BPG 0.5 56
MPG 27.4 65
Shooting
FG% 0.429 26
3P% 0.36 55
FT% 0.857 67
TS% 0.583 55
Impact
Impact 55 69
Off Impact 59 79
Def Impact 47 39
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating - 12
WS 3.6 60
Box Score Impact 1.8 71
Value Over Replacement 1.8 74
Positional BSI 2.19 -0.39

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Rim Protection 6 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)
Foul Drawing 9 (coef=0.0102)
Gravity 12 (coef=-0.0039)
Pick & Roll Execution 7 (coef=0.0014)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 10.8 14.8 -4.0
RPG 3.4 4.4 -1.0
APG 5.5 4.9 +0.6
SPG 1.4 1.2 +0.2
BPG 0.5 0.6 -0.1
TPG - 1.5
FG% 0.429 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.36 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.857 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
68:32%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong Win Model Score. Elite ratings haven't translated to on-court impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

55 / 100 #150 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.55z
On-Court Impact -1.30 (Off -0.40, Def -0.91)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.37z
Win Model Score: 4.1016
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
59
#102
Defense
47
#290
Confidence
98%
1738 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 2.19 Actual: 1.8 -0.39
Performing in line with SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

67 / 100 #33 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 78
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 78
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 41
Future Value above current Impact (55) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
51
TS%
53
BPM
67
WS/48
48
RAPM
20
USG%
44
PA/100
55
BCI
82

Shot Quality

PA/100
+0.03
Points Added
+0.2
Selection
1.041
FGA
656
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
38.7%
344 FGA (52%)
Rim
51.2%
213 FGA (32%)
Long Midrange
34.6%
26 FGA (4%)
Short Midrange
32.9%
73 FGA (11%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
17.12
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
+0.7%
USG%
18.6%
Tendencies
Salary
$23.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.464

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $23,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
4.102
Expected WM
3.751
Dev Residual
+0.3505
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.253
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
V
Viktor Morozov Cleveland Giants 0 3.0 98.1% Secondary Creator / Chaser
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 97.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
J
Jaleel Usher Oklahoma City Barons 32 4.0 97.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Tawaski Casuga Detroit Mustangs 26 4.0 97.3% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
L
Lenzelle Ndefo Philadelphia Warriors 24 3.5 97.3% Slasher / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Value
15.1
Years to Peak
0
Current Win Value
15.1
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
3.012
Projected Peak WV
3.012
Peak Age
30
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 9 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 18 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 12 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 12 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 17 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 14 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 5 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 5 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 7 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 19 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 18 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 19 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 6 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 13 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 15 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 16 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 19 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 17 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 19 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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