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Jaleel Usher

Jaleel Usher

SG

Oklahoma City Barons · Secondary Creator / Chaser

College: Duke · Elizabeth, New Jersey

Skilled facilitating forward

A star-level shooting guard averaging 16.1 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 4.4 APG. Excels in self-creation (20 rating, 100th pctl), three-point shooting (19 rating, 99th pctl) and interior scoring (19 rating, 97th pctl). Limited by help defense (9 rating, 11th pctl) and offensive rebounding (5 rating, 15th pctl).

63
Impact
57
Future
4.0
CA
3.5
PA
32
Age
$6.0M
Salary
3.549
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)
O Shot Creator (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Floor General (S) O Floater Game (S) O Pop Threat (S) O Sniper (S) O Pull-Up Threat (S) O PnR Maestro (S) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Slasher (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Iso Scorer (B)
Tyler Herro
NBA Comparison
Tyler Herro
2024-25
89%
Style
89%
Level
6'5" · 195lbs
23.9/5.2/5.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer 3PT specialist
Alt comp
Coby White
2024-25 · 81%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.2
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 32 (past peak)
Future Value: 57
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 16.1 84
RPG 4.2 63
APG 4.4 84
SPG 1.2 72
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 31.8 85
Shooting
FG% 0.483 62
3P% 0.425 88
FT% 0.796 40
TS% 0.614 81
Impact
Impact 63 87
Off Impact 74 98
Def Impact 40 16
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 15.4 60
WS 6.3 85
Box Score Impact 1.7 69
Value Over Replacement 2.4 84
Positional BSI 0.66 +1.04

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Spacing 14 (coef=0.0196)
Ball Dominance 18 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 8 (coef=0.0333)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)
Stealing 6 (coef=0.0145)
Foul Drawing 10 (coef=0.0102)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 16.1 18.2 -2.1
RPG 4.2 4.5 -0.3
APG 4.4 5.2 -0.8
SPG 1.2 1.0 +0.2
BPG 0.1 0.5 -0.4
TPG - 1.8
FG% 0.483 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.425 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.796 0.4 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
34:66%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

63 / 100 #67 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.21z
On-Court Impact +3.02 (Off +3.12, Def -0.20)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.30z
Win Model Score: 3.5310
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
74
#10
Defense
40
#373
Confidence
100%
2577 min
Position Model (SG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.66 Actual: 1.7 +1.04
Significantly outperforming SG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

57 / 100 #136 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 59
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 59
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 54
Future Value below current Impact (63) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG
80
TS%
83
BPM
65
WS/48
65
RAPM
85
USG%
62
PA/100
94
BCI
63

Shot Quality

PA/100
+14.21
Points Added
+163.0
Selection
0.992
FGA
1147
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
48.6%
175 FGA (15%)
Above Break Three
43.3%
559 FGA (49%)
Rim
51.0%
300 FGA (26%)
Long Midrange
42.7%
110 FGA (10%)
Other
100.0%
3 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
11.23
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+3.8%
USG%
20.9%
Tendencies
Salary
$6.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.514

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $6,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.531
Expected WM
3.764
Dev Residual
-0.2330
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.577
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 20 3.5 97.6% Secondary Creator / Chaser
O
Orlando Fitzpatrick Chicago Jailbirds 0 4.0 97.5% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Denzel Cruz Dallas Predators 21 4.0 96.6% Slasher / Chaser
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 96.4% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Tawaski Casuga Detroit Mustangs 26 4.0 96.1% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
32
Peak Win Value
13.2
Years to Peak
-1
Current Win Value
13.2
Confidence
LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.724
Projected Peak WV
2.724
Peak Age
32
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 10 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 9 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 16 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 14 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 18 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 6 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 12 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 5 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 9 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 17 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 20 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 11 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 19 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 18 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 17 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 2 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 8 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 8 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 14 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 17 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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