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Demitrius Waltz

Demitrius Waltz

PF

Phoenix Vultures · Post Scorer / Anchor Big

College: La Salle · Reading, Pennsylvania

Shot-blocking center

A solid defensive power forward averaging 13.3 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 0.8 APG. Excels in post execution (19 rating, 99th pctl), foul drawing (18 rating, 93rd pctl) and post defense (18 rating, 93rd pctl). Limited by isolation scoring (4 rating, 2nd pctl) and speed (2 rating, 5th pctl).

55
Impact
42
Future
4.5
CA
3.5
PA
23
Age
$21.0M
Salary
3.630
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(7)
O Post Hub (S) O Posterizer (B) O Glass Cleaner (B) O Floater Game (B) O Slasher (B) D Paint Wall (S) D Rim Eraser (S)
Ivica Zubac
NBA Comparison
Ivica Zubac
2024-25
72%
Style
72%
Level
7'1" · 270lbs
16.0/12.0/2.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Rim protector Rebounder Free throw merchant Inside scorer
Alt comp
Deandre Ayton
2022-23 · 70%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.8
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (4yr away)
Future Value: 42
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 13.3 72
RPG 8.9 93
APG 0.8 25
SPG 0.3 26
BPG 1.8 92
MPG 25.5 60
Shooting
FG% 0.58 94
3P% 0.2 20
FT% 0.657 12
TS% 0.607 77
Impact
Impact 55 69
Off Impact 40 17
Def Impact 63 86
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.3 79
WS 4.7 74
Box Score Impact -3.5 13
Value Over Replacement -0.7 7
Positional BSI -0.30 -3.20

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 18 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 18 (coef=0.0168)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0160)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 8 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 10 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 7 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 13.3 11.0 +2.3
RPG 8.9 8.1 +0.8
APG 0.8 1.2 -0.4
SPG 0.3 0.4 -0.1
BPG 1.8 1.6 +0.2
TPG - 1.0
FG% 0.58 0.5 +0.1
3P% 0.2 0.2 -0.0
FT% 0.657 0.4 +0.2

Play Style

Driving Frequency
94:6%

Positional Fit

Guard 40%
Wing 70%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by solid Win Model Score. Defense is the primary value driver.

55 / 100 #150 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.08z
On-Court Impact -0.15 (Off -0.71, Def +0.65)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.73z
Win Model Score: 3.6171
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
40
#370
Defense
63
#71
Confidence
99%
1986 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.30 Actual: -3.5 -3.20
Significantly underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

42 / 100 #408 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 50
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 49
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 22
Future Value below current Impact (55) — may be approaching decline

League Percentile Profile

PPG
65
TS%
78
BPM
10
WS/48
60
RAPM
46
USG%
65
PA/100
63
BCI
17

Shot Quality

PA/100
+2.23
Points Added
+18.8
Selection
0.971
FGA
841
Zone Breakdown
Rim
57.3%
606 FGA (72%)
Short Midrange
28.4%
194 FGA (23%)
Long Midrange
25.0%
28 FGA (3%)
Above Break Three
20.0%
5 FGA (1%)
Other
87.5%
8 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
4.27
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+3.1%
USG%
21.4%
Tendencies
Salary
$21.0M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.504

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $21,000,000 Re-signed with Phoenix Vultures
2051-52 $21,000,000
2052-53 $21,000,000
Total Owed $63,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.617
Expected WM
3.547
Dev Residual
+0.0696
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
4.099
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
Z
Zeke Barry Kansas City Knights 24 5.0 98.2% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
S
Steve Comino Vancouver Wolves 27 4.5 98.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jack Meyer Washington Pilots 27 4.5 98.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
G
Gvidas Vitenas Dallas Predators 28 4.5 97.6% Versatile Big / Helper
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 97.0% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.8
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
12.2
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.712
Projected Peak WV
3.070
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.358

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 18 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 11 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 12 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 3 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 19 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 9 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 7 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 18 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 14 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 17 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 5 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 10 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 12 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 4 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 8 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 5 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 6 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 18 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 18 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 10 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 13 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 2 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 9 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 13 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 15 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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