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Duran Hamdy

Duran Hamdy

PF

Detroit Mustangs · Versatile Big / Helper

College: Alabama · Garner, North Carolina

Scrappy defensive forward

A fringe power forward averaging 8.5 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 1.0 APG. Excels in 1.5 BPG (86th pctl), post execution (15 rating, 83rd pctl) and basketball IQ (16 rating, 75th pctl). Limited by interior scoring (13 rating, 7th pctl) and ball dominance (7 rating, 7th pctl).

42
Impact
29
Future
3.0
CA
3.5
PA
20
Age
$1.8M
Salary
2.740
Bal WV
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 8.5 49
RPG 4.0 61
APG 1.0 30
SPG - 5
BPG 1.5 86
MPG 23.8 55
Shooting
FG% 0.538 83
3P% - 16
FT% 0.5 7
TS% 0.543 26
Impact
Impact 42 21
Off Impact 43 26
Def Impact 46 33
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 8.3 14
WS -0.1 5
Box Score Impact -3.7 11
Value Over Replacement - 29
Positional BSI -3.83 +0.13

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Foul Drawing 15 (coef=0.0102)
Basketball IQ 16 (coef=0.0078)
Post Execution 15 (coef=0.0074)
Mid-Range Shooting 14 (coef=0.0069)
Strength 13 (coef=0.0012)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 7 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 2 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 13 (coef=0.0155)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 8.5 8.0 +0.5
RPG 4.0 6.2 -2.2
APG 1.0 1.6 -0.6
SPG 0.0 0.4 -0.4
BPG 1.5 1.1 +0.4
TPG - 0.9
FG% 0.538 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.5 0.5 +0.1

Play Style

Driving Frequency
93:7%

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 50%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 47 min — score regressed toward league average.

42 / 100 #353 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -2.57z
On-Court Impact -6.31 (Off -4.34, Def -1.94)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -2.10z
Win Model Score: 2.7290
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
43
#339
Defense
46
#313
Confidence
20%
47 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -3.83 Actual: -3.7 +0.13
Performing in line with PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

29 / 100 #506 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 23
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 22
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 43
Future Value below current Impact (42) — may be approaching decline
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.364

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.729
Expected WM
3.322
Dev Residual
-0.5929
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.437
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
I
Ilker Vick Nashville Stars 0 3.5 98.6% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 98.5% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jose Vazquez Salt Lake City Saints 23 3.0 98.1% Versatile Big / Helper
R
Rayvon Nassar Phoenix Vultures 22 3.5 98.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 97.7% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.5
Years to Peak
9
Current Win Value
9.3
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
1.909
Projected Peak WV
2.581
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.672

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 13 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 8 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 2 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 15 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 6 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 8 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 15 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 13 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 13 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 13 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 10 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 9 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 12 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 7 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 2 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 13 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 13 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 13 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 8 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 7 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 10 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 6 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 8 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 9 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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