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Jamaya Patton

Jamaya Patton

PF

Indiana Stonecutters · Versatile Big / Mobile Big

College: UConn · Lawrence, Massachusetts

Imposing rim-protecting forward

A fringe power forward averaging 12.6 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl), finishing (19 rating, 98th pctl) and self-creation (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by quickness (7 rating, 12th pctl) and first step (7 rating, 17th pctl).

36
Impact
44
Future
4.5
CA
3.0
PA
23
Age
$15.0M
Salary
3.442
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(8)
O Floater Game (S) O Post Hub (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Posterizer (B) O Slasher (B) O Glass Cleaner (B) D Paint Wall (B) D Rim Eraser (B)
Naz Reid
NBA Comparison
Naz Reid
2024-25
82%
Style
82%
Level
6'9" · 264lbs
12.0/5.5/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Rim protector Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Evan Mobley
2024-25 · 81%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.5
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (6yr away)
Future Value: 44
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 12.6 69
RPG 8.4 90
APG 1.2 38
SPG 0.8 56
BPG 1.8 92
MPG 31.2 80
Shooting
FG% 0.514 76
3P% 0.405 77
FT% 0.765 31
TS% 0.574 48
Impact
Impact 36 11
Off Impact 32 7
Def Impact 46 33
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.3 49
WS 3.9 66
Box Score Impact -2.4 21
Value Over Replacement -0.3 12
Positional BSI -1.82 -0.58

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 18 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0168)
Ball Dominance 14 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 10 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 4 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 8 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 10 (coef=0.0145)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 12.6 15.0 -2.4
RPG 8.4 8.1 +0.3
APG 1.2 1.9 -0.7
SPG 0.8 0.8 +0.0
BPG 1.8 1.5 +0.3
TPG - 1.5
FG% 0.514 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.405 0.3 +0.1
FT% 0.765 0.4 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
92:8%

Positional Fit

Guard 60%
Wing 60%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Defense is the primary value driver.

36 / 100 #389 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -1.56z
On-Court Impact -3.81 (Off -2.96, Def -0.85)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.01z
Win Model Score: 3.4257
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
32
#406
Defense
46
#313
Confidence
100%
2403 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -1.82 Actual: -2.4 -0.58
Underperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

44 / 100 #374 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 47
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 46
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 38
Future Value above current Impact (36) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
61
TS%
45
BPM
19
WS/48
31
RAPM
8
USG%
31
PA/100
44
BCI
20

Shot Quality

PA/100
-1.57
Points Added
-13.2
Selection
0.919
FGA
842
Zone Breakdown
Rim
52.4%
464 FGA (55%)
Short Midrange
32.8%
274 FGA (32%)
Above Break Three
38.5%
39 FGA (5%)
Long Midrange
34.6%
52 FGA (6%)
Other
53.8%
13 FGA (2%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
4.55
Load Tier
Average
Eff Delta
-0.1%
USG%
16.5%
Tendencies
Salary
$15.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.341

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $15,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.426
Expected WM
3.466
Dev Residual
-0.0399
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.862
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
I
Ilker Vick Nashville Stars 0 3.5 98.5% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 98.5% Versatile Big / Helper
I
Ishaq Osten Cleveland Giants 23 5.0 98.3% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jack Meyer Washington Pilots 27 4.5 98.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 97.8% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.5
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
11.9
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.502
Projected Peak WV
2.845
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.343

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 14 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 8 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 14 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 4 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 10 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 10 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 13 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 18 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 14 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 8 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 10 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 8 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 5 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 17 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 18 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 15 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 4 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 7 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 10 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 7 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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