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Ishaq Osten

Ishaq Osten

PF

Cleveland Giants · Versatile Big / Mobile Big

College: UCLA · Laguna Beach, California

Cerebral rim-protecting forward

A star-level scoring power forward averaging 18.9 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 2.2 APG. Excels in isolation scoring (20 rating, 100th pctl), rim protection (19 rating, 99th pctl) and self-creation (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by off-ball defense (7 rating, 15th pctl) and perimeter defense (3 rating, 16th pctl).

58
Impact
43
Future
5.0
CA
4.0
PA
23
Age
$25.0M
Salary
3.323
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(9)
O Iso Scorer (S) O Post Hub (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Floater Game (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Slasher (B) O PnR Maestro (B) D Rim Eraser (S) D Paint Wall (S)
Evan Mobley
NBA Comparison
Evan Mobley
2024-25
74%
Style
74%
Level
6'11" · 215lbs
18.0/9.0/3.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Rim protector Inside scorer Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Naz Reid
2024-25 · 71%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.7
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (6yr away)
Future Value: 43
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 18.9 92
RPG 8.6 91
APG 2.2 58
SPG 0.8 56
BPG 2.1 95
MPG 34.4 99
Shooting
FG% 0.542 84
3P% 0.479 95
FT% 0.843 61
TS% 0.616 82
Impact
Impact 58 76
Off Impact 51 57
Def Impact 64 87
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 18.4 86
WS 7.8 93
Box Score Impact 1.0 61
Value Over Replacement 2.1 79
Positional BSI -0.95 +1.95

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0168)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Passing 15 (coef=0.0156)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 10 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 5 (coef=0.0196)
Stealing 8 (coef=0.0145)
Shoot Off Dribble 4 (coef=0.0134)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 18.9 17.2 +1.7
RPG 8.6 8.8 -0.2
APG 2.2 3.6 -1.4
SPG 0.8 0.8 +0.0
BPG 2.1 1.7 +0.4
TPG - 1.8
FG% 0.542 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.479 0.3 +0.2
FT% 0.843 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
92:8%

Positional Fit

Guard 70%
Wing 60%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Outperforms his ratings on the court. Defense is the primary value driver.

58 / 100 #117 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +1.08z
On-Court Impact +2.71 (Off +0.96, Def +1.75)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.31z
Win Model Score: 3.3085
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
51
#209
Defense
64
#62
Confidence
100%
2720 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.95 Actual: 1.0 +1.95
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

43 / 100 #384 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 49
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 48
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 28
Future Value well below current Impact (58) — likely declining asset

League Percentile Profile

PPG
91
TS%
85
BPM
59
WS/48
79
RAPM
82
USG%
70
PA/100
63
BCI
35

Shot Quality

PA/100
+2.17
Points Added
+29.1
Selection
0.961
FGA
1339
Zone Breakdown
Short Midrange
30.8%
338 FGA (25%)
Rim
56.1%
857 FGA (64%)
Above Break Three
46.9%
81 FGA (6%)
Long Midrange
21.2%
52 FGA (4%)
Other
45.5%
11 FGA (1%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
6.38
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+3.9%
USG%
21.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$25.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Player Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.505

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $25,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.308
Expected WM
3.629
Dev Residual
-0.3208
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.837
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 98.3% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
K
Kenney Holba Charlotte Drones 28 5.0 97.8% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
T
Tau Weitzman Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 97.5% Versatile Big / Helper
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 97.5% Versatile Big / Helper
J
John Ford Denver Dragons 30 4.0 97.3% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.7
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
12.1
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.550
Projected Peak WV
2.896
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.346

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 5 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 16 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 11 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 8 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 16 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 15 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 13 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 18 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 15 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 20 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 10 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 16 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 3 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 4 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 19 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 8 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 4 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 15 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 11 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 10 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 10 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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