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Rayvon Nassar

Rayvon Nassar

PF

Phoenix Vultures · Versatile Big / Mobile Big

College: Arizona · Las Vegas, Nevada

Hustle forward

A fringe power forward averaging 2.1 PPG, 1.9 RPG, 0.5 APG. Excels in strength (17 rating, 88th pctl), 0.629 TS% (88th pctl) and help defense (17 rating, 86th pctl). Limited by stealing (3 rating, 7th pctl) and ball dominance (7 rating, 7th pctl).

43
Impact
35
Future
3.5
CA
3.0
PA
22
Age
$1.8M
Salary
2.809
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(4)
O Posterizer (B) O Glass Cleaner (B) O Floater Game (B) D Paint Wall (B)
Aaron Gordon
NBA Comparison
Budget Aaron Gordon
2024-25
70%
Style
70%
Level
6'8" · 235lbs
12.5/6.0/3.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Free throw merchant Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Jalen Duren
2024-25 · 69%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.2
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (7yr away)
Future Value: 35
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 2.1 9
RPG 1.9 28
APG 0.5 14
SPG 0.2 19
BPG 0.3 48
MPG 7.1 12
Shooting
FG% 0.595 97
3P% - 16
FT% 0.714 21
TS% 0.629 88
Impact
Impact 43 24
Off Impact 42 22
Def Impact 48 43
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 12.8 33
WS 1.2 30
Box Score Impact 1.5 67
Value Over Replacement 0.4 48
Positional BSI -2.64 +4.14

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 14 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)
Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0160)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0168)
Foul Drawing 15 (coef=0.0102)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 7 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 3 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 8 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 2.1 -2.4 +4.5
RPG 1.9 3.7 -1.8
APG 0.5 -1.6 +2.1
SPG 0.2 -0.3 +0.5
BPG 0.3 0.7 -0.4
TPG - -0.3
FG% 0.595 0.5 +0.1
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.714 0.4 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
96:4%

Positional Fit

Guard 30%
Wing 60%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 417 min — score regressed toward league average.

43 / 100 #345 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.31z
On-Court Impact -0.71 (Off -0.48, Def -0.22)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.83z
Win Model Score: 2.7986
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
42
#354
Defense
48
#264
Confidence
44%
417 min
Position Model (PF)
Predicted Positional BSI: -2.64 Actual: 1.5 +4.14
Significantly outperforming PF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

35 / 100 #474 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 30
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 29
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 47
Future Value below current Impact (43) — may be approaching decline

Shot Quality

PA/100
+7.21
Points Added
+7.5
Selection
0.966
FGA
104
Zone Breakdown
Rim
55.9%
68 FGA (65%)
Short Midrange
46.7%
30 FGA (29%)
Long Midrange
25.0%
4 FGA (4%)
Other
50.0%
2 FGA (2%)
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.407

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $1,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.799
Expected WM
3.399
Dev Residual
-0.6003
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.301
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 98.1% Versatile Big / Helper
G
Gvidas Vitenas Dallas Predators 28 4.5 97.7% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 97.6% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
I
Ilker Vick Nashville Stars 0 3.5 97.5% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
J
Jack Meyer Washington Pilots 27 4.5 97.4% Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.2
Years to Peak
7
Current Win Value
10.1
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.126
Projected Peak WV
2.566
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
7
WV Growth
+0.439

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 15 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 11 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 7 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 3 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 8 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 12 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 3 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 16 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 15 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 17 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 8 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 8 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 7 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 2 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 5 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 3 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 14 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 14 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 14 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 14 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 8 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 11 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 7 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 7 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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