Devonte Bell

Devonte Bell

SG

Chicago Jailbirds · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: La Salle · Aurora, Illinois

Savvy two-way shooting guard

An elite two-way shooting guard averaging 17.2 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 10.1 APG. Excels in gravity (20 rating, 100th pctl), playmaking (20 rating, 100th pctl) and help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl) and strength (5 rating, 16th pctl).

83
Impact
57
Future
5.0
CA
5.0
PA
24
Age
$30.0M
Salary
3.907
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(18)
O Floor General (G) O Gravity Generator (G) O Floater Game (S) O Catch & Shoot (S) O Slasher (S) O Shot Creator (S) O Sniper (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Lob Threat (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Posterizer (B) D Help Defender (B) D Interceptor (B) D Charge Taker (B) D Pick Dodger (B)
Trae Young
NBA Comparison
Trae Young
2024-25
80%
Style
80%
Level
6'1" · 164lbs
24.2/3.1/11.6 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Elite playmaker 3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Tyrese Haliburton
2024-25 · 73%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 15.9
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (6yr away)
Future Value: 57
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 17.2 88
RPG 3.4 52
APG 10.1 100
SPG 1.5 84
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 32.8 90
Shooting
FG% 0.492 65
3P% 0.395 73
FT% 0.729 23
TS% 0.604 74
Impact
Impact 83 99
Off Impact 76 100
Def Impact 73 95
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 20.1 94
WS 10.8 99
Box Score Impact 4.3 93
Value Over Replacement 4.0 96
Positional BSI 1.21 +3.09

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 18 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)
Quickness 10 (coef=-0.0020)
Strength 5 (coef=0.0012)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 17.2 19.4 -2.2
RPG 3.4 4.4 -1.0
APG 10.1 5.6 +4.5
SPG 1.5 1.4 +0.1
BPG 0.1 0.5 -0.4
TPG - 2.0
FG% 0.492 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.395 0.4 +0.0
FT% 0.729 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
80:20%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Star-level score driven by exceptional On-Court Impact. On-court impact exceeds what ratings alone would predict.

83 / 100 #5 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +2.48z
On-Court Impact +6.18 (Off +2.34, Def +3.84)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.38z
Win Model Score: 3.8896
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
76
#4
Defense
73
#25
Confidence
100%
2525 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.21 Actual: 4.3 +3.09
Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

57 / 100 #125 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 73
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 73
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 20
Future Value well below current Impact (83) — likely declining asset

League Percentile Profile

PPG
85
TS%
75
BPM
92
WS/48
98
RAPM
99
USG%
61
PA/100
78
BCI
99

Shot Quality

PA/100
+5.80
Points Added
+82.7
Selection
1.012
FGA
1426
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
38.4%
627 FGA (44%)
Rim
57.9%
511 FGA (36%)
Short Midrange
30.5%
167 FGA (12%)
Long Midrange
45.0%
120 FGA (8%)
Other
100.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
26.11
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+2.8%
USG%
20.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$30.0M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
Player Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.718

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $30,000,000 Re-signed with Chicago Jailbirds
2051-52 $30,000,000
2052-53 $30,000,000
Total Owed $90,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.890
Expected WM
3.550
Dev Residual
+0.3391
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
4.428
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 98.6% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 98.2% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
A
Anthony Beamer Miami Cyclones 24 4.0 97.4% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
C
Chavis Weddle Salt Lake City Saints 26 4.0 97.4% Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
15.9
Years to Peak
6
Current Win Value
14.5
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.711
Projected Peak WV
2.967
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
5
WV Growth
+0.256

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 19 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 19 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 20 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 18 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 7 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 20 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 14 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 9 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 12 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 5 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 12 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 17 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 18 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 18 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 5 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 2 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 16 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 17 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 18 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 10 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 18 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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