Fabian Kendricks

Washington Pilots · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: San Francisco · Richmond, California

Dynamic pass-first guard

A rotation shooting guard averaging 3.8 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 2.1 APG. Excels in athleticism (18 rating, 98th pctl), passing (19 rating, 98th pctl) and shoot off dribble (17 rating, 92nd pctl). Limited by help defense (9 rating, 11th pctl) and foul drawing (10 rating, 18th pctl).

Impact

Future

3.5

3.0

Age

$1.8M

Salary

3.535

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(11)

O Posterizer (S) O Slasher (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Floor General (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Sniper (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Floater Game (B) D Clamps (B)

NBA Comparison

Budget Kyle Lowry

2021-22

84%

Style

84%

Level

6'0" · 196lbs

13.4/4.5/7.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)

3PT specialist Ball handler

Alt comp

Jrue Holiday

2024-25 · 67%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 15.9

Stage: Developing

Peak Age: 29 (5yr away)

Future Value: 59

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	3.8	17
RPG	1.7	25
APG	2.1	55
SPG	0.4	33
BPG	0.1	33
MPG	11.2	17
Shooting
FG%	0.329	4
3P%	0.257	24
FT%	0.857	67
TS%	0.429	3
Impact
Impact	46	37
Off Impact	47	40
Def Impact	49	49
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	10.0	17
WS	-0.2	3
Box Score Impact	-4.1	8
Value Over Replacement	-0.2	14
Positional BSI	-0.47	-3.63

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Spacing 16 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)

Ball Dominance 16 (coef=0.0152)

Shoot Off Dribble 17 (coef=0.0134)

First Step 16 (coef=0.0112)

Weaknesses

Post Defense 8 (coef=0.0333)

Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)

Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)

Stealing 8 (coef=0.0145)

Foul Drawing 10 (coef=0.0102)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	3.8	4.5	-0.8
RPG	1.7	1.7	+0.0
APG	2.1	2.2	-0.1
SPG	0.4	0.3	+0.1
BPG	0.1	0.3	-0.2
TPG	-	0.5
FG%	0.329	0.4	-0.1
3P%	0.257	0.3	-0.1
FT%	0.857	0.4	+0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency

31:69%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%

Wing 90%

Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 382 min — score regressed toward league average.

46 / 100 #293 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.84z

On-Court Impact -2.02 (Off -2.20, Def +0.18)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.23z

Win Model Score: 3.5197

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#275

Defense

#247

Confidence

41%

382 min

Position Model (SF)

Predicted Positional BSI: -0.47 Actual: -4.1 -3.63

Significantly underperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

59 / 100 #116 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 60

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 59

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 59

Future Value above current Impact (46) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

-20.08

Points Added

-29.1

Selection

0.959

FGA

145

Zone Breakdown

Above Break Three

25.4%

71 FGA (49%)

Long Midrange

22.2%

18 FGA (12%)

Rim

41.9%

31 FGA (21%)

Short Midrange

44.0%

25 FGA (17%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

15.54

Load Tier

Poor

Eff Delta

-14.7%

USG%

19.8%

Tendencies

Salary

$1.8M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.433

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$1,750,000	Washington Pilots exercised option

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.520

Expected WM

3.206

Dev Residual

+0.3134

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

4.031

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-0.5

Dev Status

Ahead of Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
O	Orlando Fitzpatrick	Chicago Jailbirds	0	4.0	98.1%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
J	Jaleel Usher	Oklahoma City Barons	32	4.0	98.1%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
J	Jonas Baumann	San Diego Calaveras	20	3.5	97.3%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
V	Viktor Morozov	Cleveland Giants	0	3.0	97.3%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
S	Sebastian Steinbach	Denver Dragons	23	4.0	96.5%	Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

15.9

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

13.2

Confidence

MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.734

Projected Peak WV

3.305

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.571

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	10	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	9	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	13	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	16	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	17	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	16	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	4	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	16	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	8	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	17	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	14	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	9	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	17	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	9	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	19	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	16	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	9	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	15	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	13	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	15	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	17	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	8	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	15	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	8	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	14	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	13	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	16	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	15	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	16	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	14	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	16	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	18	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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