Sebastian Steinbach

Denver Dragons · Secondary Creator / Chaser

College: Washington State · Stadtilm, Germany

Dazzling 3-and-d guard

A solid point guard. Excels in stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl), professionalism (19 rating, 93rd pctl) and toughness (16 rating, 93rd pctl). Limited by foul drawing (7 rating, 5th pctl) and finishing (11 rating, 18th pctl).

Impact

Future

4.0

3.0

Age

$1.8M

Salary

3.517

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(9)

O Gravity Generator (S) O PnR Maestro (S) O Floor General (S) O Shot Creator (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) O Sniper (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Floater Game (B) D Interceptor (B)

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	-	2
RPG	-	2
APG	-	3
SPG	-	5
BPG	-	15
MPG	-	2
Shooting
FG%	-	2
3P%	-	16
FT%	-	4
TS%	0.534	22
Impact
Impact	-
Off Impact	-
Def Impact	-
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	-	12
WS	0.5	20
Box Score Impact	-2.0	24
Value Over Replacement	-	29
Positional BSI	1.12	-3.12

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0226)

3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)

Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)

Stealing 19 (coef=0.0145)

Weaknesses

Post Defense 5 (coef=0.0333)

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11 (coef=0.0330)

Offensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0160)

Foul Drawing 7 (coef=0.0102)

Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0074)

Play Style

Driving Frequency

31:69%

Denver Gap Fit

Rating	Player	Denver Avg	Top 3	Delta
Foul Drawing	7	11.4	14.4	-4.4
Defensive Rebounding	18	11.9	14.8	+6.1
Playmaking	18	9.8	12.6	+8.2
Offensive Rebounding	6	10.7	13.4	-4.7
Post Execution	2	6.0	8.6	-4.0
Self-Creation	16	13.5	15.7	+2.5
Ball Handling	17	11.8	13.7	+5.2
Finishing	11	14.4	16.1	-3.4
3PT Shooting	17	14.3	16.0	+2.7
Help Defense	11	14.1	15.7	-3.1

Positional Fit

Guard 80%

Wing 90%

Big 70%

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

59 / 100 #107 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 59

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 58

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 59

Shot Quality

PA/100

-6.04

Points Added

-9.8

Selection

0.987

FGA

163

Zone Breakdown

Rim

41.2%

51 FGA (31%)

Above Break Three

37.7%

77 FGA (47%)

Short Midrange

33.3%

24 FGA (15%)

Long Midrange

27.3%

11 FGA (7%)

Tendencies

Salary

$1.8M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.189

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$1,750,000	Signed contract via Free Agency with Denver Dragons

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.500

Expected WM

3.163

Dev Residual

+0.3369

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.952

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-1.0

Dev Status

Ahead of Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
F	Fabio Tinto	Salt Lake City Saints	21	3.5	97.9%	Secondary Creator / Point Of Attack
K	Keyon McCoy	Charlotte Drones	26	4.5	96.6%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
M	Mario Moore	Baltimore Bullets	30	4.5	96.3%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J	Jarrett Sutherland	Toronto Huskies	25	4.5	96.3%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
T	Tavares Storm	Charlotte Drones	0	3.0	96.3%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

15.0

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

13.1

Confidence

LOW

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.556

Projected Peak WV

2.920

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.364

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	7	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	11	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	11	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	16	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	18	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	13	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	2	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	18	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	19	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	11	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	18	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	6	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	6	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	18	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	18	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	16	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	10	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	17	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	17	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	11	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	17	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	8	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	18	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	5	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	15	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	16	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	16	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	16	+0.00	Unknown	-
Work Ethic	14	+0.00	Unknown	-
Leadership	16	+0.00	Unknown	-
Discipline	17	+0.00	Unknown	-
Professionalism	19	+0.00	Unknown	-
Aggression	15	+0.00	Unknown	-
Toughness	16	+0.00	Unknown	-
Hustle	16	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	16	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	12	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	11	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	16	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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