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Keyon McCoy

Keyon McCoy

PG

Charlotte Drones · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

College: UCLA · Chandler, Arizona

Intelligent shoot-and-defend guard

A solid point guard averaging 16.1 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 6.4 APG. Excels in self-creation (20 rating, 100th pctl), help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by strength (2 rating, 4th pctl) and post defense (3 rating, 21st pctl).

52
Impact
53
Future
4.5
CA
3.5
PA
26
Age
$27.0M
Salary
3.549
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(12)
O Iso Scorer (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Slasher (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Floor General (S) O Sniper (B) O Floater Game (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Shot Creator (B) D Interceptor (B) D Help Defender (B)
LaMelo Ball
NBA Comparison
LaMelo Ball
2024-25
78%
Style
78%
Level
6'6" · 180lbs
25.2/4.9/7.4 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Volume scorer Elite playmaker 3PT specialist Lockdown defender Ball handler
Alt comp
Ja Morant
2024-25 · 72%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.1
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (4yr away)
Future Value: 53
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 16.1 84
RPG 3.4 52
APG 6.4 93
SPG 1.4 80
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 24.7 58
Shooting
FG% 0.432 28
3P% 0.372 60
FT% 0.896 86
TS% 0.559 39
Impact
Impact 52 59
Off Impact 55 68
Def Impact 48 43
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 20.9 95
WS 4.7 74
Box Score Impact 2.7 80
Value Over Replacement 2.3 82
Positional BSI 0.58 +2.12

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 (coef=0.0330)
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0226)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 18 (coef=0.0156)
Stealing 18 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 3 (coef=0.0333)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0155)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0074)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 16.1 13.2 +2.9
RPG 3.4 4.3 -0.9
APG 6.4 4.0 +2.4
SPG 1.4 1.2 +0.2
BPG 0.1 0.3 -0.2
TPG - 1.5
FG% 0.432 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.372 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.896 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
47:53%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by solid On-Court Impact.

52 / 100 #195 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.13z
On-Court Impact +0.36 (Off +0.40, Def -0.04)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.16z
Win Model Score: 3.5340
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
55
#151
Defense
48
#264
Confidence
99%
1928 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.58 Actual: 2.7 +2.12
Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

53 / 100 #214 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 62
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 62
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 31
Future Value in line with current Impact (52)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
80
TS%
35
BPM
78
WS/48
64
RAPM
48
USG%
94
PA/100
55
BCI
90

Shot Quality

PA/100
+0.11
Points Added
+1.3
Selection
0.962
FGA
1119
Zone Breakdown
Rim
49.0%
337 FGA (30%)
Above Break Three
36.8%
495 FGA (44%)
Short Midrange
33.0%
185 FGA (16%)
Long Midrange
39.2%
102 FGA (9%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
21.52
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-1.9%
USG%
28.6%
Tendencies
Salary
$27.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
Player Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.423

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $27,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.534
Expected WM
3.470
Dev Residual
+0.0642
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.812
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Mario Moore Baltimore Bullets 30 4.5 99.2% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
E
Emanuel Autry Philadelphia Warriors 28 4.5 98.4% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M
Makyi Olanrewaju Seattle Thunder 31 5.0 98.4% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
T
Tavares Storm Charlotte Drones 0 3.0 98.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
G
Guy Vasquez Los Angeles Fireballs 26 4.5 98.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.1
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
13.4
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.586
Projected Peak WV
2.720
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
3
WV Growth
+0.134

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 19 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 14 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 18 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 13 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 18 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 18 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 17 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 9 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 2 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 12 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 18 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 20 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 17 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 18 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 17 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 10 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 5 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 15 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 3 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 15 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 13 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 17 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 18 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 10 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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