Makyi Olanrewaju
PGSeattle Thunder · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
College: Michigan State · Lafayette, Louisiana
Long-armed 3-and-d guard
An elite two-way point guard averaging 26.7 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 9.6 APG. Excels in stealing (20 rating, 100th pctl), quickness (20 rating, 100th pctl) and 2.3 SPG (100th pctl). Limited by offensive rebounding (4 rating, 9th pctl) and post defense (3 rating, 21st pctl).
69
Impact
47
Future
5.0
CA
5.0
PA
31
Age
$35.0M
3.642
Bal WV
Skill Badges
(18)
O
Ankle Breaker
(S)
O
Speed Demon
(S)
O
Iso Scorer
(S)
O
Slasher
(S)
O
Lob Threat
(S)
O
Gravity Generator
(S)
O
Floor General
(S)
O
Pop Threat
(B)
O
Shot Creator
(B)
O
Sniper
(B)
O
Pull-Up Threat
(B)
O
PnR Maestro
(B)
O
Floater Game
(B)
O
Catch & Shoot
(B)
D
Interceptor
(S)
D
Pick Dodger
(S)
D
Clamps
(B)
D
Help Defender
(B)
NBA Comparison
LaMelo Ball
2024-25
63%
Style
63%
Level
6'6" · 180lbs
25.2/4.9/7.4 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Volume scorer
Efficient scorer
Elite playmaker
Lockdown defender
Alt comp
Luka Doncic
2023-24 · 61%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge:
13.9
Stage:
Prime
Peak Age:
31
(past peak)
Future Value:
47
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 19 (coef=0.0152)
Stealing 20 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 3 (coef=0.0333)
Spacing 9 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 4 (coef=0.0160)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0074)
Expected vs Actual Production
| Stat | Actual | Expected | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPG | 26.7 | 21.7 | +5.0 |
| RPG | 3.9 | 5.2 | -1.3 |
| APG | 9.6 | 6.0 | +3.5 |
| SPG | 2.3 | 1.8 | +0.6 |
| BPG | 0.1 | 0.7 | -0.6 |
| TPG | - | 2.3 | |
| FG% | 0.475 | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| 3P% | 0.374 | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| FT% | 0.885 | 0.5 | +0.4 |
Play Style
Driving Frequency
85:15%
Positional Fit
Guard
90%
Wing
90%
Big
80%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by exceptional On-Court Impact. Hidden intangibles add significant value beyond visible skills.
69
/ 100
#33 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight
+1.53z
On-Court Impact +3.81 (Off +0.39, Def +3.42)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.65z
Win Model Score: 3.6240
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#90
Defense
71
#34
Confidence
100%
2642 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI:
0.41
Actual:
6.7
+6.29
Significantly outperforming PG model predictions
Future Value
Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.
47
/ 100
#336 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight
66
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight
66
Contract Surplus — 30% weight
1
Future Value well below current Impact (69) — likely declining asset
League Percentile Profile
PPG
98
TS%
75
BPM
98
WS/48
96
RAPM
92
USG%
97
PA/100
65
BCI
97
Shot Quality
PA/100
+2.51
Points Added
+56.7
Selection
0.966
FGA
2257
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
37.0%
882 FGA (39%)
Long Midrange
35.1%
188 FGA (8%)
Short Midrange
39.5%
319 FGA (14%)
Rim
50.3%
868 FGA (38%)
Creation & Scoring Load
Box Creation
24.42
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+2.5%
USG%
30.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$35.0M
Years Left
4
Expiry
2054
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.564
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $35,000,000 | Re-signed with Seattle Thunder |
| 2051-52 | $35,000,000 | |
| 2052-53 | $35,000,000 | |
| 2053-54 | $35,000,000 | |
| Total Owed | $140,000,000 |
Win Model Development
Win Model Score
3.624
Expected WM
4.233
Dev Residual
-0.6086
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.535
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive
Win Value Development
Stage
Prime
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Value
13.9
Years to Peak
-1
Current Win Value
13.9
Confidence
HIGH
Win Value Trajectory
Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)
Current WV
2.572
Projected Peak WV
2.572
Peak Age
31
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000
Rating Trainability
| Rating | Current | Growth/yr | Class | Peak Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foul Drawing | 14 | +1.23 | High Growth | 31 |
| Help Defense | 14 | +0.66 | High Growth | 27 |
| Off-Ball Defense | 19 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Ball Dominance | 19 | +0.55 | High Growth | 28 |
| Gravity | 16 | +0.52 | High Growth | 29 |
| Spacing | 9 | +0.45 | High Growth | 18 |
| Post Execution | 3 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Playmaking | 16 | +0.40 | High Growth | 29 |
| Stealing | 20 | +0.38 | High Growth | 19 |
| Finishing | 18 | +0.37 | High Growth | 27 |
| Defensive Rebounding | 14 | +0.37 | High Growth | 18 |
| Offensive Rebounding | 4 | +0.36 | High Growth | 18 |
| Strength | 7 | +0.35 | High Growth | 18 |
| Pick & Roll Execution | 17 | +0.34 | High Growth | 18 |
| Passing | 19 | +0.33 | High Growth | 18 |
| Self-Creation | 19 | +0.32 | High Growth | 19 |
| Isolation Execution | 19 | +0.32 | High Growth | 18 |
| 3PT Shooting | 19 | +0.31 | High Growth | 19 |
| Ball Handling | 18 | +0.30 | High Growth | 19 |
| On-Ball Perimeter Defense | 19 | +0.30 | High Growth | 18 |
| Shoot Off Dribble | 15 | +0.28 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Rim Protection | 5 | +0.26 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Inside Shooting | 16 | +0.25 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Post Defense | 3 | +0.17 | Moderate Growth | 18 |
| Basketball IQ | 15 | +0.07 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Endurance | 15 | +0.05 | Low Growth | 20 |
| Speed | 18 | +0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Free Throws | 18 | +0.00 | Unknown | - |
| First Step | 18 | -0.01 | Low Growth | 18 |
| Mid-Range Shooting | 18 | -0.03 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Quickness | 20 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |
| Athleticism | 17 | -0.08 | Low Growth | 19 |