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Guy Vasquez

Guy Vasquez

SG

Los Angeles Fireballs · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Missouri · Albuquerque, New Mexico

Intelligent two-way shooting guard

A star-level scoring shooting guard averaging 17.2 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.4 APG. Excels in pick-and-roll execution (20 rating, 100th pctl), mid-range shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl) and perimeter defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by post defense (1 rating, 5th pctl) and offensive rebounding (5 rating, 15th pctl).

60
Impact
65
Future
4.5
CA
3.0
PA
26
Age
$7.5M
Salary
3.644
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(14)
O Pop Threat (S) O Floater Game (S) O PnR Maestro (S) O Lob Threat (S) O Pull-Up Threat (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Floor General (B) O Sniper (B) O Catch & Shoot (B) O Slasher (B) O Posterizer (B) O Iso Scorer (B) D Interceptor (S) D Pick Dodger (B)
Donovan Mitchell
NBA Comparison
Donovan Mitchell
2024-25
83%
Style
83%
Level
6'3" · 215lbs
24.0/4.5/5.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Lockdown defender
Alt comp
Franz Wagner
2024-25 · 78%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.2
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (4yr away)
Future Value: 65
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 17.2 88
RPG 4.0 61
APG 3.4 74
SPG 1.8 95
BPG 0.2 43
MPG 28.5 68
Shooting
FG% 0.459 46
3P% 0.459 94
FT% 0.897 86
TS% 0.607 77
Impact
Impact 60 80
Off Impact 65 91
Def Impact 41 18
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating - 12
WS 2.6 49
Box Score Impact 1.6 67
Value Over Replacement 1.3 69
Positional BSI 1.07 +0.53

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Spacing 14 (coef=0.0196)
Inside Shooting 17 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 1 (coef=0.0333)
Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0074)
Help Defense 12 (coef=0.0040)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 17.2 16.9 +0.3
RPG 4.0 3.8 +0.2
APG 3.4 4.9 -1.5
SPG 1.8 1.4 +0.4
BPG 0.2 0.3 -0.1
TPG - 1.8
FG% 0.459 0.5 -0.0
3P% 0.459 0.4 +0.1
FT% 0.897 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
77:23%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong Win Model Score. Offense is the primary value driver.

60 / 100 #96 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.41z
On-Court Impact +1.04 (Off +1.31, Def -0.31)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.93z
Win Model Score: 3.6262
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
65
#46
Defense
41
#366
Confidence
93%
1372 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.07 Actual: 1.6 +0.53
Outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

65 / 100 #47 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 63
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 62
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 69
Future Value above current Impact (60) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG
85
TS%
78
BPM
64
WS/48
42
RAPM
69
USG%
86
PA/100
83
BCI
58

Shot Quality

PA/100
+7.91
Points Added
+56.0
Selection
0.993
FGA
707
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
43.0%
284 FGA (40%)
Short Midrange
39.4%
137 FGA (19%)
Rim
52.1%
219 FGA (31%)
Long Midrange
41.8%
67 FGA (10%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
10.13
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+3.0%
USG%
25.1%
Tendencies
Salary
$7.5M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.487

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $7,500,000
2051-52 $7,500,000
Total Owed $15,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.626
Expected WM
3.422
Dev Residual
+0.2043
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.922
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 98.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 98.1% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
C
Chavis Weddle Salt Lake City Saints 26 4.0 98.0% Secondary Creator / Chaser
D
Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 4.0 97.9% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
N
Nico Gillespie Mexico City Jaguars 30 4.0 97.9% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.2
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
13.5
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.529
Projected Peak WV
2.663
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
3
WV Growth
+0.134

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 16 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 12 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 16 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 18 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 14 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 13 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 18 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 19 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 13 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 5 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 9 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 20 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 11 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 18 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 18 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 18 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 15 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 3 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 17 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 1 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 19 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 16 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 19 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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