Emanuel Autry

Philadelphia Warriors · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: Stanford · Pearland, Texas

Fearless facilitating guard

A star-level two-way point guard averaging 7.6 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 6.5 APG. Excels in shoot off dribble (19 rating, 100th pctl), finishing (20 rating, 100th pctl) and stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by help defense (9 rating, 11th pctl) and post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl).

Impact

Future

4.5

3.5

Age

$3.2M

Salary

3.629

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(16)

O Iso Scorer (S) O Gravity Generator (S) O Pull-Up Threat (S) O Posterizer (S) O Lob Threat (S) O Slasher (S) O Shot Creator (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Floater Game (B) O Floor General (B) O PnR Maestro (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Sniper (B) D Clamps (S) D Interceptor (S) D Pick Dodger (B)

NBA Comparison

Chris Paul

2024-25

83%

Style

83%

Level

6'0" · 175lbs

10.0/4.0/8.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Efficient scorer Elite playmaker Ball handler

Alt comp

Tyrese Haliburton

2024-25 · 63%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 14.0

Stage: Developing

Peak Age: 29 (2yr away)

Future Value: 63

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	7.6	43
RPG	2.8	43
APG	6.5	94
SPG	1.1	68
BPG	0.1	33
MPG	20.3	47
Shooting
FG%	0.511	75
3P%	0.415	83
FT%	0.878	77
TS%	0.618	83
Impact
Impact	62	85
Off Impact	62	86
Def Impact	58	78
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	19.2	91
WS	7.2	90
Box Score Impact	3.1	83
Value Over Replacement	1.9	76
Positional BSI	0.96	+2.14

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)

Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0226)

3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)

Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)

Stealing 19 (coef=0.0145)

Weaknesses

Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)

Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0168)

Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)

Basketball IQ 13 (coef=0.0078)

Help Defense 9 (coef=0.0040)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	7.6	11.4	-3.8
RPG	2.8	2.9	-0.1
APG	6.5	3.9	+2.6
SPG	1.1	1.1	+0.0
BPG	0.1	0.1	+0.0
TPG	-	1.2
FG%	0.511	0.5	+0.0
3P%	0.415	0.3	+0.1
FT%	0.878	0.5	+0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency

87:13%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%

Wing 90%

Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong On-Court Impact. Hidden intangibles add significant value beyond visible skills.

62 / 100 #77 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.85z

On-Court Impact +2.15 (Off +0.37, Def +1.78)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.65z

Win Model Score: 3.6113

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#67

Defense

#105

Confidence

95%

1505 min

Position Model (PG)

Predicted Positional BSI: 0.96 Actual: 3.1 +2.14

Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

63 / 100 #67 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 65

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 65

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 59

Future Value in line with current Impact (62)

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

Shot Quality

PA/100

+8.35

Points Added

+40.2

Selection

0.969

FGA

481

Zone Breakdown

Rim

55.0%

189 FGA (39%)

Above Break Three

40.5%

148 FGA (31%)

Short Midrange

39.4%

94 FGA (20%)

Long Midrange

42.9%

49 FGA (10%)

Other

100.0%

1 FGA (0%)

Tendencies

Salary

$3.2M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.544

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$3,250,000	Signed contract via Free Agency with Philadelphia Warriors

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.611

Expected WM

3.614

Dev Residual

-0.0024

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.745

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-1.0

Dev Status

Slightly Behind

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
M	Mario Moore	Baltimore Bullets	30	4.5	99.4%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
M	Makyi Olanrewaju	Seattle Thunder	31	5.0	99.1%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
G	Guy Vasquez	Los Angeles Fireballs	26	4.5	99.0%	Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
L	Lloyd Bruton	Los Angeles Fireballs	25	4.5	98.7%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
I	Ish Hampton	Dallas Predators	30	4.5	98.6%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

14.0

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

13.7

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.535

Projected Peak WV

2.575

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.039

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	17	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	9	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	19	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	17	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	19	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	11	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	9	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	17	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	19	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	20	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	16	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	5	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	17	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	17	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	17	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	19	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	18	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	17	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	17	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	19	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	19	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	3	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	18	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	2	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	13	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	12	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	15	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	17	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	13	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	16	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	15	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	16	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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