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Lloyd Bruton

Lloyd Bruton

PG

Los Angeles Fireballs · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

College: Villanova · Jersey City, New Jersey

Savvy 3-and-d guard

A solid point guard averaging 6.0 PPG, 1.6 RPG, 3.1 APG. Excels in finishing (20 rating, 100th pctl), speed (20 rating, 100th pctl) and isolation scoring (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by strength (2 rating, 4th pctl) and post defense (1 rating, 5th pctl).

54
Impact
55
Future
4.5
CA
2.5
PA
25
Age
$3.5M
Salary
3.310
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(13)
O Floater Game (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O PnR Maestro (S) O Floor General (S) O Shot Creator (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Lob Threat (B) O Slasher (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) D Interceptor (B) D Pick Dodger (B)
Darius Garland
NBA Comparison
Discount Darius Garland
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'1" · 192lbs
20.6/2.9/6.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Elite playmaker 3PT specialist Lockdown defender Ball handler
Alt comp
James Harden
2024-25 · 72%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 13.7
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (5yr away)
Future Value: 55
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 6.0 33
RPG 1.6 23
APG 3.1 69
SPG 0.7 52
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 12.4 19
Shooting
FG% 0.429 26
3P% 0.332 39
FT% 0.95 99
TS% 0.55 31
Impact
Impact 54 66
Off Impact 59 79
Def Impact 45 28
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 16.9 74
WS 2.4 45
Box Score Impact 0.7 58
Value Over Replacement 0.7 55
Positional BSI 0.39 +0.31

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 (coef=0.0330)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0152)
Passing 16 (coef=0.0156)
Spacing 12 (coef=0.0196)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 1 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 10 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0160)
Endurance 8 (coef=0.0098)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 6.0 5.8 +0.2
RPG 1.6 0.1 +1.6
APG 3.1 3.3 -0.2
SPG 0.7 0.8 -0.1
BPG 0.1 -0.3 +0.4
TPG - 0.8
FG% 0.429 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.332 0.3 +0.0
FT% 0.95 0.5 +0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency
76:24%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 60%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by solid On-Court Impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

54 / 100 #164 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.40z
On-Court Impact +1.04 (Off +0.58, Def +0.47)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.18z
Win Model Score: 3.2923
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
59
#102
Defense
45
#329
Confidence
82%
1013 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.39 Actual: 0.7 +0.31
Performing in line with PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

55 / 100 #170 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 55
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 54
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 55
Future Value in line with current Impact (54)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
18
TS%
27
BPM
55
WS/48
60
RAPM
72
USG%
70
PA/100
44
BCI
91

Shot Quality

PA/100
-1.49
Points Added
-6.8
Selection
1.002
FGA
455
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
33.2%
229 FGA (50%)
Long Midrange
53.3%
30 FGA (7%)
Short Midrange
41.5%
65 FGA (14%)
Rim
51.9%
131 FGA (29%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
21.58
Load Tier
Below Average
Eff Delta
-2.7%
USG%
21.8%
Tendencies
Salary
$3.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.491

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.292
Expected WM
3.216
Dev Residual
+0.0766
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.560
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-2.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
G
Guy Vasquez Los Angeles Fireballs 26 4.5 98.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
D
Dantrell Blackman Louisville Colonels 24 4.0 98.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
E
Emanuel Autry Philadelphia Warriors 28 4.5 98.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
C
Curtis de Rouen Salt Lake City Saints 0 3.0 98.6% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
Z
Zach Camara Minneapolis Blizzards 30 4.5 98.5% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
13.7
Years to Peak
5
Current Win Value
12.7
Confidence
MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.311
Projected Peak WV
2.489
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
4
WV Growth
+0.179

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 17 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 12 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 6 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 18 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 16 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 20 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 10 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 7 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 2 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 16 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 16 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 19 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 14 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 19 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 17 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 1 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 18 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 1 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 18 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 8 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 20 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 17 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 13 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 11 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 13 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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