Zach Camara

Zach Camara

PG

Minneapolis Blizzards · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

College: Gonzaga · Mabel, Minnesota

Polished shoot-and-defend guard

A rotation point guard averaging 7.2 PPG, 1.2 RPG, 3.5 APG. Excels in mid-range shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl), help defense (19 rating, 99th pctl) and pick-and-roll execution (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl) and offensive rebounding (5 rating, 15th pctl).

48
Impact
52
Future
4.5
CA
3.0
PA
30
Age
$3.2M
Salary
3.241
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(15)
O Pull-Up Threat (S) O Ankle Breaker (S) O PnR Maestro (S) O Pop Threat (S) O Floor General (B) O Iso Scorer (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Slasher (B) O Floater Game (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Lob Threat (B) D Help Defender (S) D Pick Dodger (B) D Interceptor (B)
Immanuel Quickley
NBA Comparison
Immanuel Quickley
2024-25
76%
Style
76%
Level
6'3" · 190lbs
15.5/4.5/6.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Ball handler
Alt comp
Malik Monk
2024-25 · 72%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.3
Stage: Prime
Peak Age: 30 (past peak)
Future Value: 52
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 7.2 41
RPG 1.2 16
APG 3.5 76
SPG 0.7 52
BPG - 15
MPG 16.6 35
Shooting
FG% 0.419 20
3P% 0.308 32
FT% 0.843 61
TS% 0.518 15
Impact
Impact 48 45
Off Impact 56 72
Def Impact 39 14
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 14.1 47
WS 1.4 32
Box Score Impact -3.5 13
Value Over Replacement -0.5 9
Positional BSI -0.32 -3.18

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 2 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0226)
Spacing 9 (coef=0.0196)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0160)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 7.2 7.5 -0.3
RPG 1.2 0.3 +0.9
APG 3.5 4.1 -0.6
SPG 0.7 0.8 -0.1
BPG 0.0 -0.1 +0.1
TPG - 0.8
FG% 0.419 0.5 -0.1
3P% 0.308 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.843 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
73:27%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 50%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by weak Hidden Rating Impact. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict. Offense is the primary value driver.

48 / 100 #260 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.07z
On-Court Impact -0.12 (Off -0.08, Def -0.03)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.14z
Win Model Score: 3.2235
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
56
#138
Defense
39
#382
Confidence
93%
1341 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -0.32 Actual: -3.5 -3.18
Significantly underperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

52 / 100 #235 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 51
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 51
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 54
Future Value in line with current Impact (48)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
27
TS%
9
BPM
10
WS/48
16
RAPM
61
USG%
62
PA/100
23

Shot Quality

PA/100
-6.36
Points Added
-35.9
Selection
0.968
FGA
564
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
31.3%
230 FGA (41%)
Rim
50.5%
190 FGA (34%)
Long Midrange
54.5%
44 FGA (8%)
Short Midrange
28.0%
100 FGA (18%)
Tendencies
Salary
$3.2M
Years Left
1
Expiry
2051
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.416

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $3,250,000 Signed contract via Free Agency with Minneapolis Blizzards

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.224
Expected WM
3.615
Dev Residual
-0.3919
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.224
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Dantrell Blackman Louisville Colonels 24 4.0 99.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
O
Omari Swift Baltimore Bullets 21 3.5 98.8% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
M
Merlin Rooks Toronto Huskies 20 3.0 98.8% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
L
Luis Oliveira Oklahoma City Barons 24 4.0 98.6% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
L
Lloyd Bruton Los Angeles Fireballs 25 4.5 98.5% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Prime
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Value
12.3
Years to Peak
0
Current Win Value
12.3
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.248
Projected Peak WV
2.248
Peak Age
30
Years to Peak
0
WV Growth
+0.000

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 10 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 19 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 18 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 17 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 17 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 9 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 5 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 17 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 14 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 18 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 6 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 5 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 6 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 19 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 19 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 18 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 16 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 18 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 17 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 2 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 2 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 13 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 10 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 14 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 14 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 16 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 19 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 17 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 11 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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