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Merlin Rooks

Merlin Rooks

PG

Toronto Huskies · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: UCLA · Modesto, California

Polished 3-and-d guard

A fringe point guard averaging 5.5 PPG, 1.2 RPG, 2.7 APG. Excels in speed (16 rating, 83rd pctl), first step (15 rating, 79th pctl) and quickness (15 rating, 76th pctl). Limited by post defense (1 rating, 5th pctl) and interior scoring (13 rating, 7th pctl).

43
Impact
42
Future
3.0
CA
3.5
PA
20
Age
$2.5M
Salary
2.780
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(2)
O Speed Demon (B) O Gravity Generator (B)
Marcus Smart
NBA Comparison
Marcus Smart
2022-23
75%
Style
75%
Level
6'3" · 220lbs
11.5/3.1/6.3 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Ball handler
Alt comp
Kyle Lowry
2021-22 · 71%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.5
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (10yr away)
Future Value: 42
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 5.5 28
RPG 1.2 16
APG 2.7 63
SPG 0.8 56
BPG - 15
MPG 14.4 28
Shooting
FG% 0.453 41
3P% 0.323 36
FT% 0.737 25
TS% 0.537 23
Impact
Impact 43 24
Off Impact 49 49
Def Impact 42 19
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 13.6 42
WS 0.6 22
Box Score Impact -2.5 20
Value Over Replacement -0.1 21
Positional BSI -2.13 -0.37

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 12 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 15 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 15 (coef=0.0152)
Shoot Off Dribble 13 (coef=0.0134)
Weaknesses
Post Defense 1 (coef=0.0333)
Defensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 4 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 13 (coef=0.0155)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 5.5 5.6 -0.1
RPG 1.2 -0.5 +1.7
APG 2.7 3.0 -0.3
SPG 0.8 0.7 +0.1
BPG 0.0 -0.1 +0.1
TPG - 0.7
FG% 0.453 0.4 +0.0
3P% 0.323 0.3 -0.0
FT% 0.737 0.5 +0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency
75:25%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%
Wing 80%
Big 50%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 446 min — score regressed toward league average.

43 / 100 #345 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.19z
On-Court Impact -0.42 (Off -0.48, Def +0.07)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.78z
Win Model Score: 2.7653
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
49
#242
Defense
42
#358
Confidence
46%
446 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: -2.13 Actual: -2.5 -0.37
Performing in line with PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

42 / 100 #411 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 36
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 36
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 57
Future Value in line with current Impact (43)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
12
TS%
18
BPM
18
WS/48
20
RAPM
18
USG%
37
PA/100
52
BCI
79

Shot Quality

PA/100
-0.41
Points Added
-0.6
Selection
0.998
FGA
157
Zone Breakdown
Above Break Three
32.3%
62 FGA (40%)
Short Midrange
24.0%
25 FGA (16%)
Rim
61.9%
63 FGA (40%)
Long Midrange
42.9%
7 FGA (4%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
15.77
Load Tier
Poor
Eff Delta
-3.9%
USG%
17.7%
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
2
Expiry
2052
Option
Team Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.384

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,550,000
2051-52 $2,550,000
Total Owed $5,100,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
2.765
Expected WM
2.977
Dev Residual
-0.2117
Peak Age
30
Peak Win Model
3.536
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Dantrell Blackman Louisville Colonels 24 4.0 99.4% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M
Marinho Sciola Houston Lightning 30 4.5 99.2% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
L
Lincoln Rutherford St Louis Skyhawks 30 4.5 98.9% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
K
Kostis Katiakos Dallas Predators 21 3.0 98.9% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
A
Anfernee Cummings Cleveland Giants 20 3.0 98.9% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.5
Years to Peak
10
Current Win Value
10.7
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
1.950
Projected Peak WV
2.646
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
9
WV Growth
+0.696

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 13 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 9 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 15 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 15 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 12 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 3 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 15 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 14 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 12 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 5 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 4 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 10 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 12 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 15 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 15 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 16 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 13 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 15 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 13 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 2 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 13 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 1 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 11 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 7 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 16 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 13 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 15 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 14 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 15 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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