Kostis Katiakos

Dallas Predators · Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

College: VCU · Nafplio, Greece

Smooth defensive guard

A fringe point guard averaging 1.0 PPG, 0.1 RPG, 1.0 APG. Excels in quickness (16 rating, 87th pctl), shoot off dribble (15 rating, 79th pctl) and first step (15 rating, 79th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (2 rating, 1st pctl) and strength (1 rating, 2nd pctl).

Impact

Future

3.0

4.0

Age

$1.8M

Salary

2.660

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(1)

O Slasher (B)

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	1.0	4
RPG	0.1	3
APG	1.0	30
SPG	0.2	19
BPG	-	15
MPG	3.8	5
Shooting
FG%	0.333	5
3P%	-	16
FT%	0.1	7
TS%	0.405	3
Impact
Impact	43	24
Off Impact	44	30
Def Impact	46	33
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	9.9	16
WS	-	9
Box Score Impact	-10.4	1
Value Over Replacement	-0.1	21
Positional BSI	-3.13	-7.27

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

Spacing 13 (coef=0.0196)

Passing 16 (coef=0.0156)

Stealing 16 (coef=0.0145)

Ball Dominance 14 (coef=0.0152)

Shoot Off Dribble 15 (coef=0.0134)

Weaknesses

Post Defense 1 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 2 (coef=0.0226)

3PT Shooting 12 (coef=0.0196)

Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)

Offensive Rebounding 3 (coef=0.0160)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	1.0	-1.0	+2.0
RPG	0.1	-2.9	+3.0
APG	1.0	2.1	-1.1
SPG	0.2	0.4	-0.2
BPG	0.0	-0.4	+0.4
TPG	-	0.1
FG%	0.333	0.5	-0.1
3P%	0.0	0.2	-0.2
FT%	0.1	0.5	-0.3

Play Style

Driving Frequency

50:50%

Positional Fit

Guard 80%

Wing 70%

Big 30%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 30 min — score regressed toward league average.

43 / 100 #345 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight -2.35z

On-Court Impact -5.75 (Off -5.76, Def +0.04)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -2.13z

Win Model Score: 2.6467

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#324

Defense

#313

Confidence

20%

30 min

Position Model (PG)

Predicted Positional BSI: -3.13 Actual: -10.4 -7.27

Significantly underperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

37 / 100 #452 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 32

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 32

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 47

Future Value below current Impact (43) — may be approaching decline

Tendencies

Salary

$1.8M

Years Left

Expiry

2051

Option

Team Option

Status

Trade Value

0.427

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$1,750,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

2.647

Expected WM

3.120

Dev Residual

-0.4737

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.406

PA Tier

High

Upside Gap

1.0

Dev Status

Behind Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
M	Marinho Sciola	Houston Lightning	30	4.5	99.1%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
M	Merlin Rooks	Toronto Huskies	20	3.0	98.9%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
S	Solomon McIlvaine	Indiana Stonecutters	30	4.5	98.6%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
K	Kendrick Rudd	Vancouver Wolves	29	4.0	98.5%	Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
R	Reetu Minkenen	Las Vegas Scorpions	23	3.5	98.4%	Shot Creator / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Developing

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

13.5

Years to Peak

Current Win Value

10.2

Confidence

HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

1.807

Projected Peak WV

2.402

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.595

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	13	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	10	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	13	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	14	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	15	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	13	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	4	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	15	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	16	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	17	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	2	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	3	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	1	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	15	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	16	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	16	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	9	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	12	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	13	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	15	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	15	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	1	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	14	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	1	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	8	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	8	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	12	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	16	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	15	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	10	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	16	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	11	-0.08	Low Growth	19

← Back to Roster