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Gage Woodward

Gage Woodward

SG

Chicago Jailbirds · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: USC · Mission Hills, California

Smooth two-way shooting wing

A rotation shooting guard averaging 15.2 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 7.9 APG. Excels in passing (20 rating, 100th pctl), playmaking (20 rating, 100th pctl) and floor spacing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by ball dominance (6 rating, 2nd pctl) and rim protection (1 rating, 7th pctl).

49
Impact
50
Future
4.5
CA
3.5
PA
26
Age
$27.0M
Salary
3.685
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(12)
O Floor General (G) O Ankle Breaker (S) O Sniper (S) O PnR Maestro (S) O Iso Scorer (S) O Catch & Shoot (S) O Floater Game (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Pop Threat (B) O Speed Demon (B) D Pick Dodger (B) D Help Defender (B)
Ja Morant
NBA Comparison
Ja Morant
2024-25
75%
Style
75%
Level
6'3" · 174lbs
21.5/4.0/8.0 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Elite playmaker 3PT specialist Ball handler
Alt comp
Tyrese Haliburton
2024-25 · 75%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 14.2
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (4yr away)
Future Value: 50
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 15.2 78
RPG 3.6 54
APG 7.9 97
SPG 1.6 89
BPG 0.1 33
MPG 30.1 76
Shooting
FG% 0.466 52
3P% 0.424 88
FT% 0.913 92
TS% 0.605 75
Impact
Impact 49 49
Off Impact 61 85
Def Impact 27 3
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 19.4 92
WS 9.4 97
Box Score Impact 5.1 97
Value Over Replacement 4.0 96
Positional BSI 1.54 +3.56

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 (coef=0.0330)
Spacing 19 (coef=0.0196)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 20 (coef=0.0156)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 10 (coef=0.0226)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0168)
Offensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0160)
Ball Dominance 6 (coef=0.0152)
Foul Drawing 11 (coef=0.0102)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 15.2 15.7 -0.5
RPG 3.6 3.9 -0.3
APG 7.9 5.9 +2.0
SPG 1.6 1.4 +0.2
BPG 0.1 0.4 -0.3
TPG - 1.6
FG% 0.466 0.5 +0.0
3P% 0.424 0.4 +0.1
FT% 0.913 0.5 +0.5

Play Style

Driving Frequency
75:25%

Positional Fit

Guard 90%
Wing 90%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by weak On-Court Impact. Elite ratings haven't translated to on-court impact. Offense is the primary value driver.

49 / 100 #241 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.76z
On-Court Impact -1.83 (Off +0.93, Def -2.77)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.85z
Win Model Score: 3.6708
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
61
#79
Defense
27
#427
Confidence
99%
2227 min
Position Model (PG)
Predicted Positional BSI: 1.54 Actual: 5.1 +3.56
Significantly outperforming PG model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

50 / 100 #260 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 64
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 63
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 19
Future Value in line with current Impact (49)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
73
TS%
76
BPM
97
WS/48
97
RAPM
21
USG%
53
PA/100
70
BCI
92

Shot Quality

PA/100
+3.75
Points Added
+47.0
Selection
1.023
FGA
1251
Zone Breakdown
Rim
53.9%
410 FGA (33%)
Short Midrange
29.2%
154 FGA (12%)
Above Break Three
40.3%
591 FGA (47%)
Long Midrange
43.2%
95 FGA (8%)
Other
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
22.23
Load Tier
Good
Eff Delta
+2.9%
USG%
19.7%
Tendencies
Salary
$27.0M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.408

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $27,000,000 Re-signed with Chicago Jailbirds
2051-52 $27,000,000
2052-53 $27,000,000
Total Owed $81,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.671
Expected WM
3.484
Dev Residual
+0.1866
Peak Age
33
Peak Win Model
3.997
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
-1.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
M
Marcus Pendleton Oakland Tritons 21 3.0 98.3% Secondary Creator / Chaser
T
Tawaski Casuga Detroit Mustangs 26 4.0 97.7% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
M
Martynas Rutkauskas Charlotte Drones 23 3.0 97.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
S
Solomone Bran Oakland Tritons 0 3.0 96.8% Stationary Shooter / Chaser
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 96.8% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
14.2
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
13.6
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.685
Projected Peak WV
2.809
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
3
WV Growth
+0.124

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 11 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 17 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 10 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 6 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 11 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 19 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 4 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 20 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 17 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 13 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 10 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 8 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 4 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 17 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 20 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 17 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 18 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 19 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 13 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 1 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 9 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 17 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 17 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 19 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 11 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 13 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 16 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 14 -0.08 Low Growth 19
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