Hudson Leonard

Denver Dragons · Glue Guy / Wing Stopper

College: Villanova · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Imaginative two-way shooting forward

A solid shooting guard averaging 5.9 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 1.3 APG. Excels in hustle (17 rating, 100th pctl), work ethic (17 rating, 100th pctl) and discipline (18 rating, 100th pctl).

Impact

Future

5.0

3.5

Age

$12.0M

Salary

3.733

Bal WV

Skill Badges

(15)

O Floater Game (S) O Iso Scorer (B) O Shot Creator (B) O Ankle Breaker (B) O Posterizer (B) O Slasher (B) O Gravity Generator (B) O Speed Demon (B) O Sniper (B) O Pull-Up Threat (B) D Interceptor (S) D Clamps (S) D Pick Dodger (B) D Help Defender (B) D Charge Taker (B)

NBA Comparison

Budget Donte DiVincenzo

2023-24

79%

Style

79%

Level

6'4" · 203lbs

15.5/3.7/2.7 (PPG/RPG/APG)

Efficient scorer

Alt comp

Jaden Ivey

2024-25 · 72%

2050 Projection

Peak Ridge: 14.0

Stage: Declining

Peak Age: 29 (past peak)

Future Value: 63

Stat	Value	Pctl
Per Game
PPG	5.9	31
RPG	2.0	30
APG	1.3	40
SPG	0.7	52
BPG	-	15
MPG	13.6	23
Shooting
FG%	0.472	56
3P%	0.379	65
FT%	0.855	65
TS%	0.597	68
Impact
Impact	54	66
Off Impact	55	68
Def Impact	47	39
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating	14.0	46
WS	1.1	28
Box Score Impact	-0.3	45
Value Over Replacement	0.3	44
Positional BSI	1.66	-1.96

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths

On-Ball Perimeter Defense 18 (coef=0.0330)

3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0196)

Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0155)

Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0160)

Stealing 18 (coef=0.0145)

Weaknesses

Post Defense 8 (coef=0.0333)

Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0226)

Spacing 9 (coef=0.0196)

Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0168)

Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat	Actual	Expected	Delta
PPG	5.9	6.7	-0.8
RPG	2.0	1.4	+0.6
APG	1.3	0.9	+0.4
SPG	0.7	0.8	-0.1
BPG	0.0	0.1	-0.1
TPG	-	0.6
FG%	0.472	0.5	-0.0
3P%	0.379	0.3	+0.0
FT%	0.855	0.5	+0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency

69:31%

Denver Gap Fit

Rating	Player	Denver Avg	Top 3	Delta
Foul Drawing	16	11.4	14.4	+4.6
Defensive Rebounding	9	11.9	14.8	-2.9
Playmaking	16	9.8	12.6	+6.2
Offensive Rebounding	17	10.7	13.4	+6.3
Post Execution	8	6.0	8.6	+2.0
Self-Creation	15	13.5	15.7	+1.5
Ball Handling	18	11.8	13.7	+6.2
Finishing	18	14.4	16.1	+3.6
3PT Shooting	17	14.3	16.0	+2.7
Help Defense	15	14.1	15.7	+0.9

Positional Fit

Guard 80%

Wing 90%

Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by strong Win Model Score.

54 / 100 #164 of 435

On-Court Impact — 60% weight +0.01z

On-Court Impact +0.07 (Off +0.72, Def -0.66)

Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.89z

Win Model Score: 3.7168

Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z

Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)

Offense

#151

Defense

#290

Confidence

62%

666 min

Position Model (SF)

Predicted Positional BSI: 1.66 Actual: -0.3 -1.96

Significantly underperforming SF model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

63 / 100 #60 of 450

Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 64

Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 65

Contract Surplus — 30% weight 61

Future Value above current Impact (54) — trajectory is positive

League Percentile Profile

PPG

TS%

BPM

WS/48

RAPM

USG%

PA/100

BCI

Shot Quality

PA/100

+3.89

Points Added

+9.1

Selection

0.982

FGA

235

Zone Breakdown

Short Midrange

34.0%

50 FGA (21%)

Rim

60.3%

63 FGA (27%)

Above Break Three

37.9%

95 FGA (40%)

Long Midrange

38.5%

26 FGA (11%)

Other

100.0%

1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation

8.06

Load Tier

Good

Eff Delta

+2.1%

USG%

18.3%

Tendencies

Salary

$12.0M

Years Left

Expiry

2052

Option

None

Status

Trade Value

0.484

Contract Breakdown

Season	Salary	Notes
2050-51	$12,000,000
2051-52	$12,000,000
Total Owed	$24,000,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score

3.717

Expected WM

3.578

Dev Residual

+0.1388

Peak Age

Peak Win Model

3.949

PA Tier

Medium

Upside Gap

-1.5

Dev Status

Ahead of Curve

Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

	Player	Team	Age	CA	Similarity	Archetype
D	Denzel Cruz	Dallas Predators	21	4.0	97.3%	Slasher / Chaser
L	Lenzelle Ndefo	Philadelphia Warriors	24	3.5	96.9%	Slasher / Wing Stopper
J	Jonas Baumann	San Diego Calaveras	20	3.5	96.9%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
A	Aidan Clark	Las Vegas Scorpions	29	5.0	96.4%	Secondary Creator / Chaser
V	Viktor Morozov	Cleveland Giants	0	3.0	96.4%	Secondary Creator / Chaser

Predicted Archetype

Offensive

Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage

Declining

Peak Age

Peak Win Value

14.0

Years to Peak

-2

Current Win Value

13.8

Confidence

MEDIUM

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV

2.560

Projected Peak WV

2.600

Peak Age

Years to Peak

WV Growth

+0.039

Rating Trainability

Rating	Current	Growth/yr	Class	Peak Age
Foul Drawing	16	+1.23	High Growth	31
Help Defense	15	+0.66	High Growth	27
Off-Ball Defense	19	+0.55	High Growth	28
Ball Dominance	14	+0.55	High Growth	28
Gravity	15	+0.52	High Growth	29
Spacing	9	+0.45	High Growth	18
Post Execution	8	+0.40	High Growth	29
Playmaking	16	+0.40	High Growth	29
Stealing	18	+0.38	High Growth	19
Finishing	18	+0.37	High Growth	27
Defensive Rebounding	9	+0.37	High Growth	18
Offensive Rebounding	17	+0.36	High Growth	18
Strength	17	+0.35	High Growth	18
Pick & Roll Execution	9	+0.34	High Growth	18
Passing	9	+0.33	High Growth	18
Self-Creation	15	+0.32	High Growth	19
Isolation Execution	18	+0.32	High Growth	18
3PT Shooting	17	+0.31	High Growth	19
Ball Handling	18	+0.30	High Growth	19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense	18	+0.30	High Growth	18
Shoot Off Dribble	18	+0.28	Moderate Growth	18
Rim Protection	5	+0.26	Moderate Growth	18
Inside Shooting	18	+0.25	Moderate Growth	18
Post Defense	8	+0.17	Moderate Growth	18
Basketball IQ	17	+0.07	Low Growth	19
Endurance	16	+0.05	Low Growth	20
Speed	15	+0.01	Low Growth	18
Free Throws	17	+0.00	Unknown	-
Work Ethic	17	+0.00	Unknown	-
Leadership	17	+0.00	Unknown	-
Discipline	18	+0.00	Unknown	-
Professionalism	16	+0.00	Unknown	-
Aggression	14	+0.00	Unknown	-
Toughness	14	+0.00	Unknown	-
Hustle	17	+0.00	Unknown	-
First Step	15	-0.01	Low Growth	18
Mid-Range Shooting	15	-0.03	Low Growth	19
Quickness	15	-0.08	Low Growth	19
Athleticism	14	-0.08	Low Growth	19

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