Dashboard›JBL Players›Isaac Lopez
Isaac Lopez

Isaac Lopez

PF

Portland Lumberjacks · Post Scorer / Mobile Big

College: Oklahoma State · The Woodlands, Texas

Physical paint-anchoring forward

A rotation power forward averaging 10.4 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 0.6 APG. Excels in foul drawing (20 rating, 100th pctl), offensive rebounding (19 rating, 99th pctl) and self-creation (19 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by athleticism (4 rating, 2nd pctl) and pick-and-roll execution (6 rating, 9th pctl).

46
Impact
45
Future
4.0
CA
2.5
PA
23
Age
$9.5M
Salary
3.394
Bal WV

Skill Badges

(4)
O Post Hub (B) O Floater Game (B) O Glass Cleaner (B) D Paint Wall (B)
Myles Turner
NBA Comparison
Myles Turner
2023-24
70%
Style
70%
Level
6'11" · 250lbs
17.1/6.9/1.5 (PPG/RPG/APG)
Efficient scorer Rim protector Free throw merchant Inside scorer Defensive anchor
Alt comp
Naz Reid
2024-25 · 73%
2050 Projection
Peak Ridge: 12.9
Stage: Developing
Peak Age: 29 (4yr away)
Future Value: 45
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 10.4 59
RPG 4.6 68
APG 0.6 17
SPG 0.5 41
BPG 1.3 82
MPG 19.8 46
Shooting
FG% 0.586 95
3P% - 16
FT% 0.831 54
TS% 0.648 94
Impact
Impact 46 37
Off Impact 43 26
Def Impact 48 43
Advanced
Player Efficiency Rating 17.6 82
WS 4.5 72
Box Score Impact 0.3 54
Value Over Replacement 0.9 60
Positional BSI 0.96 -0.66

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Post Defense 17 (coef=0.0333)
Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0160)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0155)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0168)
Foul Drawing 20 (coef=0.0102)
Weaknesses
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 6 (coef=0.0330)
3PT Shooting 8 (coef=0.0196)
Spacing 5 (coef=0.0196)
Passing 9 (coef=0.0156)
Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0152)

Expected vs Actual Production

Stat Actual Expected Delta
PPG 10.4 6.8 +3.6
RPG 4.6 5.7 -1.1
APG 0.6 0.8 -0.2
SPG 0.5 0.3 +0.2
BPG 1.3 1.2 +0.1
TPG - 0.7
FG% 0.586 0.5 +0.1
3P% 0.0 0.2 -0.2
FT% 0.831 0.5 +0.4

Play Style

Driving Frequency
92:8%

Positional Fit

Guard 50%
Wing 70%
Big 90%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest On-Court Impact.

46 / 100 #293 of 435
On-Court Impact — 60% weight -0.42z
On-Court Impact -0.98 (Off -0.46, Def -0.58)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.10z
Win Model Score: 3.3804
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.00z
Hidden Rating Impact: +0.0000 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
43
#339
Defense
48
#264
Confidence
95%
1506 min
Position Model (C)
Predicted Positional BSI: 0.96 Actual: 0.3 -0.66
Underperforming C model predictions

Future Value

Forward-looking complement to Impact Score — who will be valuable going forward, factoring in age, contract efficiency, and development trajectory.

45 / 100 #361 of 450
Cumulative Wins — 50% weight 42
Peak Ceiling — 20% weight 41
Contract Surplus — 30% weight 52
Future Value in line with current Impact (46)

League Percentile Profile

PPG
49
TS%
96
BPM
51
WS/48
83
RAPM
33
USG%
56
PA/100
59
BCI
16

Shot Quality

PA/100
+0.99
Points Added
+6.2
Selection
0.940
FGA
623
Zone Breakdown
Rim
52.4%
401 FGA (64%)
Short Midrange
37.0%
181 FGA (29%)
Long Midrange
48.5%
33 FGA (5%)
Other
42.9%
7 FGA (1%)
Above Break Three
0.0%
1 FGA (0%)

Creation & Scoring Load

Box Creation
4.25
Load Tier
Elite
Eff Delta
+7.2%
USG%
20.1%
Tendencies
Salary
$9.5M
Years Left
3
Expiry
2053
Option
None
Status
-
Trade Value
0.387

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $9,500,000 Re-signed with Portland Lumberjacks
2051-52 $9,500,000
2052-53 $9,500,000
Total Owed $28,500,000

Win Model Development

Win Model Score
3.380
Expected WM
3.384
Dev Residual
-0.0033
Peak Age
31
Peak Win Model
3.770
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
-1.5
Dev Status
Slightly Behind
Win Model Score = sum(rating × coefficient) from multi-season Ridge regression (n=393, 11 seasons, 12/32 stable coefficients). Defense and shooting dominate. Unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
D
Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 98.7% Versatile Big / Helper
J
Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutters 23 4.5 98.1% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
I
Ilker Vick Nashville Stars 0 3.5 97.9% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
S
Steve Comino Vancouver Wolves 27 4.5 97.2% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
G
Gvidas Vitenas Dallas Predators 28 4.5 97.1% Versatile Big / Helper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive

Win Value Development

Stage
Developing
Peak Age
29
Peak Win Value
12.9
Years to Peak
4
Current Win Value
11.4
Confidence
HIGH

Win Value Trajectory

Empirical Dev Curve (Multiverse)

Current WV
2.473
Projected Peak WV
2.802
Peak Age
29
Years to Peak
6
WV Growth
+0.329

Rating Trainability

Rating Current Growth/yr Class Peak Age
Foul Drawing 20 +1.23 High Growth 31
Help Defense 13 +0.66 High Growth 27
Off-Ball Defense 11 +0.55 High Growth 28
Ball Dominance 9 +0.55 High Growth 28
Gravity 10 +0.52 High Growth 29
Spacing 5 +0.45 High Growth 18
Post Execution 17 +0.40 High Growth 29
Playmaking 9 +0.40 High Growth 29
Stealing 8 +0.38 High Growth 19
Finishing 12 +0.37 High Growth 27
Defensive Rebounding 13 +0.37 High Growth 18
Offensive Rebounding 19 +0.36 High Growth 18
Strength 14 +0.35 High Growth 18
Pick & Roll Execution 6 +0.34 High Growth 18
Passing 9 +0.33 High Growth 18
Self-Creation 19 +0.32 High Growth 19
Isolation Execution 14 +0.32 High Growth 18
3PT Shooting 8 +0.31 High Growth 19
Ball Handling 5 +0.30 High Growth 19
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 6 +0.30 High Growth 18
Shoot Off Dribble 3 +0.28 Moderate Growth 18
Rim Protection 17 +0.26 Moderate Growth 18
Inside Shooting 19 +0.25 Moderate Growth 18
Post Defense 17 +0.17 Moderate Growth 18
Basketball IQ 16 +0.07 Low Growth 19
Endurance 9 +0.05 Low Growth 20
Speed 11 +0.01 Low Growth 18
Free Throws 16 +0.00 Unknown -
First Step 9 -0.01 Low Growth 18
Mid-Range Shooting 16 -0.03 Low Growth 19
Quickness 12 -0.08 Low Growth 19
Athleticism 4 -0.08 Low Growth 19
← Back to Roster